30.3.20

IT MIGHT NOT BE THE END. IT MIGHT BE BETTER THAN THE END OF THE BEGINNING.

A professor emeritus from the Medical College of Wisconsin (the former Marquette medical school) has time to crunch some numbers.  "I believe we are witnessing the beginning of the end of the epidemic."  The numbers he's been crunching are those put out by Johns Hopkins.  (One of these days I'll have to post about how recent events put me in mind of several Tom Clancy novels ...)  Feel free to crunch the numbers yourself, dear reader.  Note, in particular, "If there were a confounding effect from increased surveillance (more testing revealing yet more cases), the apparent velocity should be going up."  We're still staying home for the most part.

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