20.2.26

MAGNIFYING SMALL DIFFERENCES.

Olympic skier Mikaela Shiffrin secured a gold medal in the slalom, which we distinguish from the "giant slalom" by the tightness of the space between the gates.
Shiffrin skied impeccably in both runs to win by 1.50 seconds over Camille Rast of Switzerland, the third-largest margin of victory in a women's Olympic slalom. Anna Swenn-Larsson of Sweden took bronze.

Shiffrin is now one of just a handful of Alpine skiers to win three career Olympic gold medals and the only American ever to do so.
By skiing standards, that margin of victory is a horizon job.
What that image fails to tell you is how thin those margins are, and how little margin for error that is on the run.
Four hours later, Shiffrin stood at the starting gate for her second and final run, knowing she was less than 51 seconds away from her first medal since 2018.

It was by no means guaranteed. The second-to-last rider before Shiffrin broke a pole halfway down the course. And the skier immediately preceding her, Germany’s Lena Duerr, who was in second place after her first run, hooked the first gate and immediately stopped her run within seconds.

Shiffrin’s final run, in contrast, was a surgical performance that left her pumping her fist over her head at the finish line.

Starting in perfect rhythm, Shiffrin had a one-second lead over Camille Rast of Switzerland, the reigning world champion, one minute into her run. Entering the flat portion of the course, that lead had grown to 1.5 seconds.
In the first race, the skiers are seeded in a form similar to the pairing of chess tournaments, with the higher-rated skiers getting preference for an early start, the better to make a run on snow that has not been carved up by everyone else.  The thirty fastest times qualify for the second race, which goes off in reverse order.  Thus, the person fastest down the mountain in race one, which was Ms Shiffrin, is the final starter in the second race, and she knows how fast a run she has to make to secure the gold.  Note from that article there were at least two racers who had made a faster first run than Ms Rast, and Saint Stochastica intervened on their second runs.  Otherwise that margin would not been as large.  That we reckon ski races in fractions of a second illustrates how small, though, the difference is between international star and also-skied.
In Sochi in 2014, Shiffrin became the youngest Olympic slalom champion at 18. Now 30, she is one of the oldest.

Of her record 108 World Cup wins, 71 have come in slalom, more than any skier in any discipline. She has won seven of eight World Cup races this season and already clinched a ninth slalom Crystal Globe.
So it is with power rules.
We may be observing the phenomenon John S. McGee studied at length in In Defense of Industrial Concentration: a few economists do most of the publishing, a few actors get most of the leading roles. I'm sure there are plenty of culture-studies Ph.D.s who could do Katha Pollitt's column as well as she could, yet, there she is, month in, month out. For that matter, there are plenty of universities other than the Ivies from which The Nation could recruit interns.
A fraction of a second better, consistently: endorsement opportunities, red-carpet passes for Hollywood events, and in sport at least, little whingeing about inequities.  Don't shave that second off?  "Almost as good as Mikaela Shiffrin?  Do you have a college coaching or ski-instructor at a major resort gig lined up?"

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