FOURTH TURNING ALERT. The Superintendent has been unable to determine whether the impending secular crisis will be primarily international or primarily domestic. (That does not rule out some combination of the two.) Porphyrogenitus has a long post, suggesting the opening conflict will be primarily domestic. Roger Simon sees a domestic angle as well, namely the end of the two major parties as we currently know them. Glenn Reynolds is thinking about some of the same themes, but seeing more rather than less peaceful means of transformation at work. On his other site, he recommends a map that shows regional cleavages in Californian voting patterns. (You had to expect this reaction to the map, nicht wahr?) Will the future hold further polarization and further anger? Developing ...