28.6.24

PROCLAIM LIBERTY THROUGHOUT THE LAND UNTO ALL THE INHABITANTS THEREOF.

Cold Spring Shops will be taking Freedom Week off.  That might include suitably decorated trains on preservation railroads.


Yes, Independence Day has become a contested holiday of late.  And yes, in the end of Chevron deference does this nation enjoy a new birth of freedom, this time from swarms of domestically appointed officers who harass the people and eat out their substance.
Major or minor, the number of questions decided by agencies has proliferated over the course of generations. For more than a century, distrust of the electorate and the ceding of more and more power to the unelected—the phenomenon associated with the Progressive Era—was the dominant paradigm of governing. The vast bulk of the executive branch became insulated from elected officials without serious challenge, even as the everyday experience of citizens rendered the notion of the superior competence of government bureaucrats ridiculous. More recently, the battle lines have been drawn as conservatives recognized the problem with a system that had departed from the structural Constitution of the Founders
That's the kind of thing that could structure a unit in my survey of political economy class back in the day, and yes, a post on Chevron and the administrative state might be in the works.  Not until sometime in July.  The Friday short takes will take a long Fourth of July weekend next week.

Thanks for looking in.  Find yourself a fireworks display, an Independence Day parade, a preservation railway, a cookout fundraiser for a local civic organization and go to it.  There will be time to fret about the State of the Republic after that.

FRIDAY short TAKES.

That didn't age well.  "'There is nothing wrong with Joe Biden' is elite misinformation."
Donald Trump's restraint was remarkable.
The projection from the Jarrett regency is spectacular.
Spectacular, and projection, and yet, in character.  "The truth is that Joe Biden has always been an evil and avaricious man who has never given a damn about anyone but himself."  Even Snopes Says that Joe Biden's Favorite Talking Point is a Lie.  Yes, and Donald Trump was disciplined enough to ding him on it.

No doubt, though, there are people who will respect Dementia Joe's maunderings about legislation and regulation.  "This seems self-evident, but perhaps there are some parents out there who think that burning-hot playground equipment would be appropriate for the little tykes.  You know, maybe to clear things up, safety commissioners should just send out an explanatory flyer. Of course, if they do, they would need to remind the recipients that eating a glossy trifold is not recommended. Nor is folding it into a paper airplane and launching it into one's eye. And people probably should not wad up little bits of the flyer and tamp them up their nose or into their ear canals or any other orifices. Soon enough, we will need safety guidance to protect us from the safety guidance."

Or they'll continue to pine for the Big Rock Candy Mountain.  "Young people think emotionally rather than logically, especially when attending a university, but as they pay more attention and get out of their bubble, they realize that what the Democrats are selling -- free college tuition, the Green New Deal, and Medicare for All -- is only a fantasy. They preach about things that sound good, particularly to college students, talking points that make it seem like Democrats care about the people when in reality, the policies are nearly impossible to enact. "

Not that our major party choices are improved by last night's show. "The difference between baseball and politics, of course, is that baseball’s administration holds its cheats accountable. Oddly, we demand higher standards in baseball, which keeps the biggest liars, frauds, and cheats out of the Hall of Fame. In politics, we elect them to the presidency."  Can they both lose?  "Biden’s longevity and Trump’s resilience suggest that perhaps soufflés, which are mostly air, actually can rise repeatedly. Which is strange."

We are in uncharted watersA hard rain is falling.  "You can deny reality for only so long, and the longer you deny it, the harder it will hit when it finally does break through. I don't just mean trying to hide Biden's increasing senescence. I'm talking about all the tough decisions that Washington denies they have to make about the budget, the debt, the impending bankruptcy of Social Security and Medicare, the perilous condition of our military, and so much more."  We know who bats last.

The weekly round-up of pithy elaborations on traditional Cold Spring Shops themes follows.

27.6.24

THE COURT INTELLECTUALS WEIGH IN.

Sixteen economists who have earned a Nobel, including two with knighthoods, recently signed a public letter endorsing the continuation of the Biden presidency's policies.
While each of us has different views on the particulars of various economic policies, we all agree that Joe Biden’s economic agenda is vastly superior to Donald Trump’s. In his first four years as President, Joe Biden signed into law major investments in the U.S. economy, including in infrastructure, domestic manufacturing, and climate. Together, these investments are likely to increase productivity and economic growth while lowering long-term inflationary pressures and facilitating the clean energy transition. During Joe Biden’s presidency we have also seen a remarkably strong and equitable labor market recovery—enabled by his pandemic stimulus. An additional four years of Joe Biden’s presidency would allow him to continue supporting an inclusive U.S. economic recovery.
Make of it what you will that Paul Krugman is not among the signatories.  It's premature to assign any causation to any current changes in macroeconomic policy, and the consequences of the real debt ceiling might have effects on "productivity and economic growth" that will come as a surprise, particularly where those inflationary pressures are concerned; and driver reluctance to buy those enclosed golf carts is real.

DON'T EXPRESS IMPURE THOUGHTS.

Current Harvard dean of social sciences Lawrence Bobo recently offered advice somewhere along those lines to his colleagues who have public forums, or something.
Vigorous debate is to be expected and encouraged at any University interested in promoting freedom of expression. But here is the rub: As the events of the past year evidence, sharply critical speech from faculty, prominent ones especially, can attract outside attention that directly impedes the University’s function.

A faculty member’s right to free speech does not amount to a blank check to engage in behaviors that plainly incite external actors — be it the media, alumni, donors, federal agencies, or the government — to intervene in Harvard’s affairs. Along with freedom of expression and the protection of tenure comes a responsibility to exercise good professional judgment and to refrain from conscious action that would seriously harm the University and its independence.

Internal discussion on key policy matters can occasion sharp differences of opinion. The expression of diverse, conflicting positions, especially those advanced with passion and conviction, is the stuff of a healthy intellectual community. Academic departments, faculty meetings, town halls, and campus publications should be regular forums for participation in University governance.

But many faculty at Harvard enjoy an external stature that also opens to them much broader platforms for potential advocacy.
Well, yes, and, well, using your stature as a scholar in one field to spout off about something unrelated has long been one of the fringe benefits of the job.  As ... which the dean seems to be objecting to now ... is the opportunity to participate in rallies or serve as court intellectual to a political party.  No, seriously.  Only, it appears he is suggesting, don't suggest university complicity in the Vietnam War.
Would it simply be an ordinary act of free speech for those faculty to repeatedly denounce the University, its students, fellow faculty, or leadership? The truth is that free speech has limits — it’s why you can’t escape sanction for shouting “fire” in a crowded theater.

Following similar logic: Is it acceptable professional conduct for a faculty member to encourage civil disobedience on the part of students that violates University policies? Faculty advocacy for actions clearly identified as in violation of student conduct rules is extremely problematic. Doing so after students have received official notification of a potential serious infraction is not acceptable. Such behavior should have sanctionable limits as well.
That's "falsely" shouting fire, but between that caveat and my invocation of the Vietnam War I'm showing my age.  The dean's closing paragraphs, though, sound more like the archbishop reminding the priests and seminarians that Satan always lurks, tempting the unwary with false doctrine.
As Harvard has moved to limit its opining on salient public issues, we must use our voices as faculty responsibly. Do we allow individual faculty with large external platforms to invite external interference and encourage student misconduct without consequence?

With unprecedented freedom comes great responsibility. These are matters the leadership of this university must address directly if we are to avert a troubling recurrence of the historic challenges that have unsettled life on our campus over the past nine months.
I don't require much persuasion to see a failure of stewardship on the part of higher education's adminstrators and faculty, nor am I surprised when public officials get tired of being poked in the eye. "Where the faculty refuse to exercise proper stewardship, the trustees, and, where applicable, the legislators, must throw the challenge flag."

26.6.24

THE EMERGENCE OF INTRAMODAL COMPETITION.

My impression from the beginning of Florida's Brightline service was that it was an attempt to provide upscale intercity transportation in the manner of Amtrak's Acela, and I wondered how two very different services would coexist bringing sports fans into Miami, whether for basketball or for Stanley Cup finals of all things.  "The upcoming professional basketball tournament will feature contrasting approaches to Commuter Rail and Regional Rail service. Brightline and the Miami Heat have a partnership, and fans will be able to get to Heat games either on Brightline or the city's more traditional Commuter Rail operator that terminates at Amtrak's former Seaboard Air Line station."  I had similar reservations about Brightline working with the Orlando area Commuter Rail operator with shared stations.

What I did not see was the Miami Commuter Rail operator responding to the competition with express commuter trains of their own.
A new Tri-Rail express train promises to cut travel times for people heading to and from Miami.

The South Florida Regional Transportation Authority (SFRTA) unveiled its new one-seat service between West Palm Beach and the MiamiCentral station. The agency claims the line will cut at least a half-hour of the typical commute time between the two cities.

"We are thrilled to unveil this new enhancement to our train service,” SFRTA Executive Director Dave Dech explained. “By offering a one-seat ride and reducing travel time, we aim to provide an enhanced commuting experience for our passengers and attract new riders to Tri-Rail."

When the service begins, the train will pull out of West Palm Beach at 6:30 a.m. and it is expected to arrive at its destination at 8:05 a.m. An evening rout [c.q.] will depart MiamiCentral at 5:35 p.m.
The intermediate stops are Boca Raton, where Brightline recently saw the wisdom of building a station, Fort Lauderdale, but closer to the airport than Brightline, and the transfer station to Miami's Metro Rail, which is to say the local rapid transit.  Brightline apparently are handling enough intercity travellers between Orlando and Miami that they're no longer selling the multi-ride passes commuters on the original Miami - Fort Lauderdale - West Palm run were enjoying.  Perhaps these faster commuter trains on Tri Rail will attract some passengers.

Nowhere, though, do the competing Passenger Rail operators work together.  Amtrak will not carry passengers locally between Naperville and LaGrange Road, where the Quincy services call, whilst Metra operate Naperville Zephyrs as well as other rush-hour dinkies making their first stop at LaGrange or Hinsdale or Downer's Grove.  Nor, I suspect, will Sun Rail or Tri Rail tickets be good on Brightline, let alone on the two long distance Amtrak trains using the former Seaboard metals.

WE KNOW THERE'S A PALACE GUARD MEDIA.

Maybe Dementia Joe is engaging in political theater to provide them with cover.  "White House Correspondents Push Back After Joe Biden Grouses Over Reporters Not 'Playing By The Rules.'"

Never underestimate Joe's ability to, well, you know ...
Appearing at the press conference with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, Biden took a question from Bloomberg’s Josh Wingrove.

Wingrove asked the president if he would give his assessment of Hamas’ response to the latest ceasefire proposal. “Do you believe that they are trying to work towards a deal or is this response against a deal?” Wingrove asked.

Biden responded, “I wish you guys would play by the rules a little bit. I’m here to talk about a critical situation in Ukraine and you asked me about another subject.” Earlier in the press conference, Colleen Long of the Associated Press asked a Ukraine-related question and another one about his son Hunter’s conviction.

The president said he would answer the question about Hamas in detail later, but said that, when it comes to the ceasefire deal, “the biggest hangup so far is Hamas refusing to sign on even though they have submitted something similar. Whether it comes to fruition remains to be seen.”

NBC News’ Kelly O’Donnell, the president of the White House Correspondents’ Association, later issued a statement pushing back on the notion that reporters had agreed to a set of “rules” on what could be asked.

“The White House Correspondents’ Association believes it is in the public interest to make clear that at a presidential press conference, at home or abroad, there are no preconditions regarding question topics.

“While the White House does determine the number of reporters the president will recognize, it is up to professional journalists to decide what to ask. Any leader may prefer that reporters ask only one question or ask only about a topic that is of most interest to the president or another world leader, but a free press functions independently.”

She added, “WHCA would welcome more opportunities to pose a range of questions to the president in a press conference setting.”
It's possible for sympathetic pundits to cover for Dementia Joe talking about "I'm going to get into trouble ..." by noting that any senior leader has staff responsible for keeping him on schedule; the same might be true of the staffers providing a list of reporters who have been briefed in on recent events.  It's a marriage of convenience too far, though, to have a president insisting that the questions be those he is accustomed to.  Even though you don't have to be a suspicious Trumpian or a Pajamas Media stringer to think of the Washington press corps as Democrat operatives with bylines.

THE GOAL OF ANY ORGANIZATION IS SURVIVAL.

City Journal contributor John Tierney rediscovers the principle.
In the spring of 1979, a few weeks after the partial meltdown of a nuclear reactor at Three Mile Island in Pennsylvania, more than 65,000 people marched on the United States Capitol chanting “No Nukes, No Nukes.” As a young reporter at the Washington Star assigned to cover this new movement, I interviewed march organizers and noticed that all of them had previously organized protests against the Vietnam War. This struck me as curious: How had they suddenly become so passionate and knowledgeable about nuclear power?

I later learned that a term exists for this phenomenon—the March of Dimes syndrome—and that the tendency affects many other movements, too. Why, last year, did the Human Rights Campaign declare a “national state of emergency” for LGBT people? Why was the election of the first black American president followed by the Black Lives Matter movement? Why have reports of “hate groups” risen during the same decades that racial prejudice has been plummeting? Why, during a long and steep decline in the incidence of sexual violence in America, did academics, federal officials, and the #MeToo movement discover a new “epidemic of sexual assault”?

These supposed crises are all examples of the March of Dimes syndrome, named after the organization founded in the 1930s to combat polio. The March helped fund the vaccines that eventually ended the polio epidemics—but not the organization, which, after polio’s eradication, changed its mission to preventing birth defects. Its leaders kept their group going by finding a new cause, just as antiwar activists did after achieving their goal of ending the Vietnam War. The Three Mile Island accident offered new fund-raising opportunities and a new platform for veterans of the antiwar movement such as Jane Fonda and her husband Tom Hayden, who both addressed the crowd at that first antinuke rally.

For career activists, success is a threat. They can never declare mission accomplished.
The March of Dimes came up in a management theory class fifty years ago as an illustration of the survival principle.  In their case, it might have been an extreme example: you had President Roosevelt encouraging the donations for polio research, an effort that to this day is honored by his face on the dime, and there was encouraging research on live and killed viruses that culminated in two vaccines.  There was also, as the previous sentence hints at, quite the promotional and fundraising apparatus, there might even be car cards in transit vehicles of the era, and once the polio vaccine succeeded, it's not as if there weren't other medical challenges to go after.  I recall the promotional materials that were distributed in schools, one of them showed an archer having scored a bulls-eye on polio and taking aim at birth defects, which was the term at the time.  There was a third target, might have been muscular dystrophy, and yes, I'm showing my age, that became Jerry Lewis's cause; and yet there are plenty of challenges to the health of the moms and the babies alike to keep the fundraising going.

25.6.24

THE IRRELEVANCE OF THE FAIRNESS DOCTRINE.

Saturday's rollout of restored Milwaukee trackless trolley car 441 featured sister Marmon trolley 9631 from Chicago on the photo line.


Trackless trolley cars remained in service on a few North Side routes into the early 1970s, by which time holding up bus drivers for their coin changers had become frequent enough that the transit companies went to exact fare (in those days, that meant keeping coins on hand) and this car is running in its as retired livery.

There are collectors who have preserved a variety of external and internal transit advertising cards, and the Illinois Railway Museum have enough such cards to provide era-and-locality correct cards for Chicago, Milwaukee, or Cleveland cars, to name three.  It's the specific dash card on 9631 that provides the transfer to the Fairness Doctrine.

EVERYTHING IS JUST FINE.

Years ago, The Washington Monthly took issue with the Carter administration with the hopes of continuing the "got a problem, get a program" ethos in the Federal Capital, and even a botched surrender of Afghanistan to the Taliban didn't disconcert them.

It should therefore come as no surprise that they're all-in on continuing his faux dictatorship of populist error.
When European heads of state look at Joe Biden, they see an accomplished world-historic leader.

An aging world-historic leader, to be sure. Joke: How old is Joe Biden? He’s so old that when NATO leaders gather at their July summit in Washington, Biden will be the only one born before the organization was founded 75 years ago.

But as Biden’s age has advanced, so too has his clout and respect within the alliance. It was Biden who warned European leaders in early 2022 that Vladimir Putin was going to send his military into Ukraine, a warning many of them initially refused to believe. When the invasion happened as predicted, it was Biden who rallied Western and other allied countries to Ukraine’s defense. It was also Biden who authorized a dramatic increase in U.S. natural gas exports to Europe as Russia cut off supplies. It was Biden who picked up the phone and called the heads of Finland and Sweden with a quiet suggestion that they join NATO. And it was Biden and his team who overcame the resistance of Turkey and Hungary to make NATO expansion a reality, thus turning Putin’s military quagmire into a geo-strategic disaster for Russia.

No president since Ronald Reagan has more successfully wielded influence in the Western alliance. Yet Biden has also overturned one of Reagan’s greatest legacies, Reaganomics, and replaced that free market “neoliberal” ideology with an economic vision of his own, Bidenomics. Instead of cutting safety net programs, Biden vastly expanded them during the pandemic. Instead of encouraging corporate monopolies, his administration is charging them with antitrust violations. Instead of “letting the market decide” all matters of economic development, his government is providing hundreds of billions of dollars to encourage private investment in green energy and microchip manufacturing on American soil.
We still have no idea what the end conditions for Ukraine will be, let alone whether that will lead to a "geo-strategic disaster for Russia;" nor does the return of "got a problem, get a program" promise something other than Carter era stagflation and malaise.  And restoring the structure-conduct-performance paradigm to antitrust enforcement?  Spare me.

The Monthly, though, offer what might be a serious case for the continuation of the Biden presidency, one based on traditional, if wrong, notions of What Governing Is, and it rewards careful study.

THERE ARE LIMITS TO PRESIDENTIAL POWERS.

Inside Higher Education contributor Katherine Knott finds out.  "Two federal judges on Monday dealt different blows to the administration’s generous income-driven loan repayment plan. What does that mean for borrowers awaiting relief?" No, seriously, this is, after all, the house organ for business as usual in higher ed.  How else can the advocacy for all wokeness, all the time, go on if the supply of culture-studies majors dries up?
After forgiving $5.5 billion in student loans for 414,000 borrowers, the Biden administration won’t be able to wipe out the balances for any additional borrowers under its new income-driven repayment plan.

More than eight million borrowers are enrolled in the plan known as a Saving on a Valuable Education, or SAVE, which is designed to make payments more affordable and offer a quicker pathway to forgiveness for borrowers, depending how much they initially took out in loans to pay for their education.

Federal judges in Missouri and Kansas handed down orders Monday evening dealing dual setbacks to SAVE, which has become a centerpiece of the president’s efforts to overhaul the student loan system. The Missouri judge blocked the administration from doling out any additional debt relief under SAVE, while the Kansas judge’s order prevents the department from implementing the other parts of the program set to take effect July 1.
An unconstitutional ukase issued under a twee acronym is still an unconstitutional ukase, all the happy talk about "quicker pathway to forgiveness" notwithstanding.  Moreover, that Our President is issuing unconstitutional ukases points out another failing, namely that Congress did not write a "The Secretary shall issue regulations" clause into some reward to rent seekers, which would have made the vote buying a lot easier.
In a nutshell, both judges found that the plaintiffs were likely to succeed in their lawsuits because the department lacked the authority to make such significant changes to the income-driven repayment plan. The injunctions are temporary and maintain the status quo while the courts consider the lawsuits.  (Note: This paragraph has been updated to more accurately describe the rulings.)

Neither order rolls back the relief already provided. But undergraduate borrowers won’t see their monthly payments cut in half unless the Kansas court order is reversed on appeal. Borrowers who are not a part of SAVE won’t be affected, as the lawsuits only challenged that plan.
That's alright, the rest of Dementia Joe's unconstitutional vote-buying scheme is in legal limbo, and if he attempts to demagogue it during the campaign, he's likely to further antagonize likely Trump voters who either paid off their student loans or didn't go to college in the first place.

24.6.24

ELECTRICAL EQUIPMENT PROPERLY CARED FOR WILL LAST A LONG TIME.

Saturday the Illinois Railway Museum reintroduced Milwaukee trackless trolley car 441, which recently went to an off-site auto body restorer for extensive restoration.


During the rededication, sister Marmon 9631 from Chicago and Milwaukee 269, a St. Louis Car Company product, joined the photo line.  The 269 still shows the effects of years slopping through Milwaukee's salty wintertime streets, and passengers can not yet ride as neither the forward nor aft stairwells are safe.  The operator has to be acrobatic to get on and off.

I don't know the past history of this trackless trolley other than that it was purchased by a bus enthusiast.  Once upon a time there was a St. Louis from Milwaukee (the squinty rear windows are the tell) grounded as a hunting cabin on County Highway W west of Crivitz, Wisconsin, and other trackless trolleys found new life in similar Up Nort' uses.  A few of them might still be available for preservation, although with preservation railways discovering they can't economically retrieve wood or steel interurbans that found a second life as backwoods cabins or chicken coops might give enthusiasts pause.


The museum announced announced a fundraising campaign to have 269 sent to the same body works that restored 441.  The mechanical workings are in good enough shape that it came out to the ceremony using its motor the way the Mechanical Department intended.


The trackless trolley cars were a way numerous urban electric railways attempted to make continued use of the overhead wire while avoiding the assessments for street repairs and the ongoing expenditure on track repairs.  Too often, though, the upgrade cycle was use the scrap value from the streetcars and the rails to pay for the trackless trolleys, then use the scrap value from the trackless trolleys and the wire to pay for new look buses, and when those buses wore out, find a way to sell the service to the county.  And now the new look buses are also in transportation museums, including at Union.

THERE'S SOMETHING HAPPENING HERE.

To Outside the Beltway political scientist Steven Taylor, it exists, but it's not exactly clear.  "I am not going to try and go deeply into any of this at the moment but will note that just like it is difficult to convince a lot of Americans that inflation, for example, is a global phenomenon, so too it is often overlooked the degree to which this political moment of nationalist/populist/reactionary politics is also global and not just a Trump-based phenomenon."

I don't know, maybe over a quarter century of elite failure might have something to do with it.
The public health establishment, as Kennedy observes, could hardly have failed more miserably than it did during Covid. Its ugly authoritarian streak and myopic worldview were both on full display. Public health officials amazingly denied the existence of natural immunity, stubbornly insisted on the efficacy of masks, and blithely suggested that they couldn’t care less whether locking down the economy and shutting kids out of schools caused the ruination of many thousands of businesses, the borrowing of many trillions of dollars, and the impoverishing of many millions of childhoods. Public health officials also wildly asserted, in the words of Biden’s CDC director Rochelle Walensky, that “vaccinated people do not carry the virus” and “don’t get sick”—a claim shown to be pure nonsense.

Yet Covid merely shined a spotlight on a public health establishment whose ineptitude, self-interestedness, insulation, and indifference to genuine scientific inquiry dates back at least 40 years, to the AIDS crisis. Instead of having independent research be conducted by inquisitive, truth-seeking scientists from coast to coast, almost all such research has been funneled through a small cabal of interested individuals who control, shape, and limit that research. Essentially all of the money for such research flows through the federal government, and only those who toe the party line get the government’s—that is, the taxpayers’—money.
That's Tom Klingenstein's colleague Jeffrey Anderson reviewing Robert Kennedy's campaign manifesto, The Real Anthony Fauci.  Make of the review and the arguments what you will, and yet a sponsored research establishment that has become rent-seeking and censorious didn't inspire confidence, Mr Kennedy even quotes Ike warning us (“The prospect of domination of the nation’s scholars by Federal employment, project allocations, and the power of money is ever present and is gravely to be regarded.”); and over half a century of inconclusive nation-building wars and a foreign policy establishment that cannot offer a coherent principle applicable in Gaza and Eastern Ukraine alike, and apparently you can't fix poverty by throwing printed money at it.  Bring up such things, though, and the palace guard media will "fact check" you.
One would think that a free press corps would call out the public health bureaucrats over such ludicrous claims, which could easily have been checked. But as Kennedy observes, “The now-popular term ‘misinformation’ has come to mean any expression that departs from official orthodoxies.” Those who depart must be rebuked or censored by the mainstream press and social media.
Scolding Normals that it's better here than it is in Britain or Germany, let alone Venezuela, isn't the argument Professor Taylor thinks it is.  Your condescension and preening about your good intentions and appealing to arguments that don't work off the chalkboard no longer impresses.

GRIDLOCK IS GOOD.

If politicians devote their waking hours to expanding their power, Constitution be damned, the best voters might be able to do is to fill the Federal Capitol with elected officials who have different ideas about how best to expand their power.
We know that didn't happen.  "Donald Trump was his own worst enemy, and his grievance tour in Georgia might have done more for the Jarrett regency than any of the efforts of the soon to be former representative [Liz Cheney], or the establishmentarian squishes of Conservative, Inc."  I maintain that the electorate voted for gridlock in 2020, and Mr Trump's Georgia machinations gave the coot just enough of a governing majority in Congress to give us Malaise 2.0.
Something similar appears to be shaping up now, or perhaps what was simmering is starting to boil, but with the colors reversed.  " There's a slice of the electorate that is frustrated with Biden but sticking with the party on the state level."  Well, yeah, even Donald Trump gets that at some level, in one of his weekend rallies he went on at length about soft on crime prosecutors in the big cities: it's the school boards and city councils that matter more than the presidency.  The problem with thirty years plus of the national parties doing everything they can to jam through as much of their less incrementalist agendas is that eventually the public tires of the perpetual crisis-mongering.  "In the Trump era, split-ticket voting has appeared all but dead, but some voters now are hinting they may want more checks and balances than the take-no-prisoners approach of the last eight years."

21.6.24

BRACING SKEGNESS.

It appears as if the younger Royals are in the beach-going spirit.


Buckingham Palace confirm that the Princess of Wales herself took the photo somewhere in Norfolk.

There aren't that many beach days along the North Sea, as residents of the Upper Lakes will understand.

WHILE YOU'RE AT IT, BUY A PACKER JERSEY.

Cheese Makes You Happy And Could Boost Healthy Aging.
A huge genetic analysis has found that people with better mental well-being tend to live longer and healthier – and certain lifestyle choices, like eating more cheese, could play a significant role in that effect.

Researchers in China didn't comb through the genes of millions of Europeans only to show that gouda is good-a for you, but that is one of the more attention-grabbing results. After all, who doesn't want to be told that eating more cheese will help them live longer and healthier lives?

Still, there's a lot more to the findings than just eating foods that make you feel happy.

Past observational studies have found that happiness can have an impact on how a person ages, even more so than smoking. But these are just associations that could be confounded by other, overlooked factors, such as socioeconomic status.
There's no mention of Packer jerseys among those confounding factors, which doesn't rule their ownership as contributing to your good cheer.

FRIDAY short TAKES.

Likewise.  "We're done trying to make sense of this nonsense. We'd prefer just to mock it."


That illustration might be a derivation of the workings of the Welfare Economics Paradigm.  You have to look hard for the errors that are designed in.  "Governance in the hands of self-appointed experts tends to spark backlash.  Without democratic accountability, the further technocratic governance reaches, the greater resistance it arouses."  Particularly when the experts keep getting it wrong.  They need to show their work.

The weekly round-up of pithy elaborations on traditional Cold Spring Shops themes follows.

NO. NEXT QUESTION?

Today's demonstration that there's no common sense at Common Dreams comes from Stephen Zunes.  "Can Biden Learn From 1968 Before It’s Too Late?"  For purposes of this post let us understand that it is not Biden learning, rather it is his puppet masters.  The premise of Mr Zunes's column, though, is amusing.  "In order to get the necessary turnout among young people, minorities, and progressives to prevent a Republican victory in November, the Biden administration needs to change its policies, and soon."  I don't know that the parallel works: in 1968 Hubert Humphrey, Richard Nixon, and George Wallace all were pretty clear on where they stood on things, and nobody tried the conjuring trick of running Dementia Joe as some sort of not-quite-crazy Democrat until you looked at the platform, but who ever pays attention to party platforms?  Perhaps we should have.  "Dementia Joe is trapped.  His Justice Department is still holding people who trespassed in and disrupted day-to-day political activities in the Federal Capitol: should he shout out a Right on! to people occupying landmark buildings at Columbia or UCLA, the Trump ads would write themselves."

20.6.24

THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF LEGAL RESIDENCY BY DECREE.

The positive theory of immigration amnesties, starting with a maintained hypothesis that the underground economy serves as a sort of apprenticeship, is too crass for Sensitive People.  Thus we get either protracted tussles in successive Congresses over some sort of procedural reform, or presidents issuing ukases.  Those bring a different sort of troubles, as Outside the Beltway's James Joyner, describing "a morally right but politically fraught move," explains.
I’m more of a stickler for the rules than most but it’s really hard to make a good moral argument for deporting people married to American citizens because they didn’t have permission to be in the country at the time of the ceremony. While there are doubtless some small percentage of people who get married to game the immigration system, the overwhelming number of these people are simply building lives together and starting (or have long since started) families. Sending them back to their countries of origin, and thus separating them from their family, for months or even years would be unconscionably cruel.

At the same time, it’s not obvious to me that this is a sound political move. I’m skeptical that the number of “mixed families” in battleground states outweighs the percentage wanting to crack down harder on the border.
Well, yeah, a few high-profile crimes with illegal aliens held as suspects will do that.  Moreover, it is only fitting and proper that if people, whether as establishmentarian political scientists or as Democrats and their court intellectuals, vest all their hopes in a president, that the blame will land in the Oval Office, sooner or later.  "There’s no reason at all to doubt that Americans writ large are frustrated by our border policies and, unfair though it may be, blame Biden as the incumbent President."  Live by the executive order, die by the executive order.  His conclusion, though, suggests that the past century has been the most roundabout journey from Ellis Island to Ellis Island.  "Biden is on the right side of the issue, wanting to toughen border enforcement and end the abuse of the asylum system while treating folks who have been here for years in violation of our immigration laws with some sense of humanity. We’ll see whether that pays off politically."

LET'S UNDO THE FATAL CONCEITS.

As long as I'm in a taking-dim-views mood, let's recall, dear reader, why Technocracy Fails.  "Technocrats, you see, are pretty good at pulling the right policy levers, and Wise Experts can always design legislation and write the subsequent rules to Improve The General Welfare."

Alas, in Washington, a lot of that designing and rewriting slipped from the hands of The People's Representatives to what the Militant Normals like to call "unelected bureaucrats," and Congress was fine to leave the grunt work to others, and Separation of Powers wasn't something for courts to worry about.
I could set this post to a Sixties rhyming chant: Two! Four! Six! Eight! Smash the Administrative State!  We've already called attention to the overreach.  "The Environmental Protection Agency allocation tsar recently set hand and seal to ukases requiring multiple changes in the personal automobiles and in the commercial trucking business."
Perhaps, notes Reason contributor Veronique de Rugy, not for much longer.  "The Supreme Court May Be on the Brink of Radically Restricting Bureaucrats' Power."  The problem, she notes, combines legislative lassitude with specialist ambition.
The United States Constitution vests all legislative powers in Congress. Yet, over the past century, we've witnessed a disturbing trend of legislators increasingly delegating much of the authority to set the laws that govern the land to the executive branch, which includes unelected officials at administrative agencies. This undermines democratic accountability, contributes to government bloat and abuse of powers, and disrupts the balance of power crafted so carefully by the Framers.

Reasserting congressional authority is essential for maintaining a balanced government and ensuring that policies reflect voters' wishes. It's also the best hope for promoting economic freedom and growth. Unfortunately, getting Congress to stop evading its authority is an uphill battle. After all, we're talking about an institution that systematically fails to do another of its primary jobs by passing legitimate budgets on a timely basis.

Nevertheless, there is some light at the end of the tunnel, as the Supreme Court might soon stop being so deferential to executive branch agencies in interpreting the laws set by Congress.
In doing so, the Court is going to upset both Business as Usual and the teaching and research plans of political economists.  For Business as Usual has meant Congress not concerning itself with the details of regulation (craft a bill with an appealing title, put "It is the intent of Congress that ..." in the preamble, and conclude each section with "The Secretary shall issue regulations ..., which means, in practice, some task force of newly-hired Master of Public Administration types draft the regulations) in part because getting the details right is work (can you imagine Jasmine Crockett and Marjorie Greene on fisheries or retention toilets on trains) and in part because years of Academic Accomplishments argue in favor of these Issues as Too Subtle for Laymen.  (Thus, too, did the reading of the entrails of chickens become Holy.)  Moreover, there was enough in the way of those academic arguments to the effect that courts were of limited utility in balancing the conflicting claims, and thus best defer to those rookie public officials, who ... are unelected bureaucrats.)

LET'S PRETEND THAT PASSING LEGISLATION IS GOVERNING.

I'm no fan of "got a problem, get a program."
Perhaps the voters who voted were not in favor of Doing Anything More, and at least some of the eligible voters who didn't vote didn't see that What Was Done worked. If What Was Done had more than a little rent-seeking in it, all the better.
Thus, I'm not impressed with recent claims by acolytes of the Jarrett regency to put their figurehead president figuratively on Mt. Rushmore.  Recently Wisconsin senator Tammy Baldwin went to the virtual Recombobulation Area to make a video, transcript not yet released.  A service called Wisconsin Right Now released the pretense I call attention to.  "Wisconsin Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin insists that the Joe Biden presidency is 'one of the most successful administrations in generations. In terms of legislative accomplishments, it is one of the most successful administrations in generations. And passing legislation that will have generational impact, that will unfold over the next decade, is really striking.'"

THEY'RE MUCH MORE USEFUL AS FIGURES OF FUN.

Donald Trump might be up in the presidential preference polls, and that's scaring the usual suspects.  Rachel Maddow recently appeared as guest on "The View" and the fear-fest began.
RACHEL MADDOW: Well, so, I was asked, “Am I worried about me?” And my answer was I'm worried about all of us. I'm no worried about me than I am worried about everybody in the country. I think it's bad to have somebody saying give me as much power as you can in this country so I can use it to go after other Americans, so I can use it to go after these subhuman internal enemies and I will destroy them. That's just not a good system for anybody and I don't think anybody is safe if that's the sort of basis on which he wants to get more power.

BEHAR: Well remember when Nixon had an enemy's list, that was a proud moment when they were on the enemies list. That was a proud moment for a lot of people if they made it onto the enemies list. Maybe we have to turn it around like that.

MADDOW: I mean I don't – if he decides to go after you or me or anybody who is well-known, you know, we have resources, we will likely be fine, but I think there's a pattern where he picks out individual people and effectively terrorizes them. I mean, there's Stormy Daniels wearing a bulletproof vest to get into the courthouse.

BEHAR: Once you have political violence you have fascism following that. So you've characterized some of Trump's rhetoric as being pornographically violent. That's a good phrase, I like it. In just the last weeks he's joked about his supporters committing suicide, listen to this, did you catch this, he tells them wouldn't it be bet tore commit suicide than to vote for Biden? He's going full Jim Jones now, you know? It's like the Kool-Aid thing. Is he losing it or what? Do they think he's kidding when he says that? What?
There must be a corollary to "your social standing varies inversely to your familiarity with Las Vegas" that governs where "The View" is concerned, and yet, the whiff of fascism drives ratings, doesn't it?

19.6.24

THE PUNISHMENT CYCLES CONTINUE.

Do we have any more compelling evidence of the emptiness of politics than the touting of false narratives by the True Believers?  Guardian contributor Rachel Leingang files a refreshingly objective, given the source, report on what the Jarrett regency is calling "cheap fakes."
For viewers of rightwing media or social media feeds tailored toward conservatives, these videos of Biden surface near-daily in an attempt to underscore one of the president’s key liabilities, his age.

They’re often selectively edited to make Biden look, well, old. They kick off a series of headlines about how his age or senility is showing, then another series of headlines about how the videos are created to mislead.

The videos, and the subsequent hand-wringing over them, show how bifurcated today’s political and social media ecosystems are. Few watch a full speech or a full newscast, instead getting a quick example of what they missed from an account they align with. Your view of a given event – of a speech by a president, or a campaign rally - is colored first, and often predominantly, by the way it’s presented by the people you follow.
Yes, that's both-sides-ism, it's what you'd expect from punishment cycles, and it's not terribly edifying.  Dear reader, if the Democrats' policies are as bad as Republicans claim, does the senility or not of the president matter?  Conversely, if those policies are working, does the erratic behavior of the former president matter?  Only, she continues, because both major parties are running geezers.
In reality, both presidential candidates are old, a fact that doesn’t change. Trump is 78; Biden is 81. Whether you view them as prone to senior moments, incoherent and rambling, or slow on their feet relates mostly to your views on who they are – and the content you’re seeing about it.

The two candidates’ ages may create more of these gaffes, and the coverage of these gaffes gets extended because voters are concerned about the age of the next president. There seems to be a “little bit of a ping pong game of who has the senior moment du jour”, Schafer said. Endless repetition of age-related criticisms can influence voters and reinforce concerns they have over fitness for office, which is why these news cycles, and promotion by both campaigns, continue.

These separate media ecosystems aren’t new this election cycle, though they create alternate realities for their viewers. It’s not just how something is covered, but whether it’s covered at all, [process-worshipper Bret] Schafer noted. A viewer of some rightwing media could be served coverage of a story incessantly while it doesn’t make headlines in the broader press.
Alas, the so-called "broader press" has revealed itself, or so the Trumpian populists think, as Democrat operatives with bylines.
So it goes.  But invocations of legislation passed, bridge-building commenced, money printed, and military hardware abandoned, you know, the meat and potatoes of governing, aren't terribly interesting.  Thus we focus on the presidency, er, the gerontocrats seeking the office, and neglect the dog-catcher and the school board and the city council.

MAYBE HE SHOULD HAVE STUCK TO SUMMER STOCK.

Last fall, the University of Wisconsin system removed LaCrosse chancellor Joe Gow for conduct unbecoming.  The university at LaCrosse is in the middle of a for cause investigation stripping him of tenure in communication studies.
The former chancellor, Joe Gow, said [in April] that interim Chancellor Betsy Morgan filed three charges against him March 29, accusing him of unethical conduct, failing to cooperate with an investigation, and using UW-La Crosse computers to produce pornographic materials.

Gow declined to share a letter from Morgan detailing the charges, saying he didn't want to look as though he is trying to play out his case in the media.

But he said the ethics charge may be connected to his writings in two pornographic e-books. He declined to go into detail. The allegation of failure to cooperate stems from his refusal to speak to an outside law firm investigating the matter without an attorney, he said. He denied using any UW state-owned equipment or state dollars to produce porn.
It's not pretty.  There's always the tension between professionalism and transgressivity in the university.  So it is playing out in LaCrosse.
Some Wisconsin Republicans have embraced the system’s efforts to fire Gow, arguing that his behavior is amoral and unbefitting of a public university employee. But free speech advocates have decried the move as an attempt by the system to save face in the wake of an embarrassing scandal. They argue that firing Gow from his tenured faculty job violates the First Amendment, which protects sexually explicit speech—including the pornography Gow made outside the university.
It verges into misappropriating state property territory: are we headed for a pass wherein faculty shy away from using their home computers and office supplies for academic work because the boundaries on the use of office computers are elastic?
Gow is also accused of refusing to cooperate with the investigation into his firing, including by allegedly deleting information from university-owned computers. Related charges on technology-use policies allege that Gow received “vendor emails” at his work account “for sex toys and other sex products,” and configured web browsers on a university laptop to remember login credentials for seven pornographic sites, among other things.
The former chancellor is continuing to rely on freedom of speech defenses.
“At root here, what we have is a situation where I exercised my First Amendment freedoms, did things on my own time, and put them on social media, on the internet. And that’s what this case ultimately is about. Do we have a First Amendment freedom to do that?” he said.

Gow also disputes the notion he made money off the videos, as UW officials have claimed; if he earned more than $1,000 a year from them, he would be required as a public official to report the income. Instead, Gow said his video ventures were costly rather than profitable.
Which would have been no big deal had he and the lady made a few bucks from summer stock.

THERE ARE NO UNPLANNED PROPERTY RENOVATORS IN MILWAUKEE.

Not too long ago, Illinois changed its legal language to refer to people who had been arrested, stood trial, or convicted, as "justice-impacted individuals."  So it often goes with Inclusive Euphemism.  Chicago Contrarian contributor J. D. Busch proposed a number of other circumlocutionsproposed a number of other circumlocutions, with the arsonist now described as in the title.
Unlike many of you cops, racists, Islamophobes and MAGA members in the audience (by Chicago standards, that includes RFK supporters, too), I find this bill to be a wonderful idea, a gateway to ushering in an entirely new branch of the English language that will show the path to an intersectional utopia, where bad means good, and good means bad (as it should be). In short: “Justice-impacted individuals” represents one small step for cisman, and one giant step for cismankind.
He got unsolicited assistance from Grammarly: make sure you've sipped your Sprecher before you click over.

18.6.24

PUT ANOTHER PIN IN IT.

Hurricanes are part of the great heat cycle, moving warmer water and air from the equator to the poles.  The following excerpt comes from Heritage's Daily Signal, and the policy shop caveat applies.
Every year at this time, when hurricane season rolls around, corporate media start pumping out headlines linking the severity of hurricanes to climate change. But is there causation or correlation? And if changes in the climate do affect hurricanes, is it in the way climate activists claim?

Climatologist David Legates says, “[If] we have colder periods, we will get more hurricane activity. If we have warmer periods, the hurricane activity tends to drop off.”

Legates serves as a visiting fellow for the Science Advisory Committee in the Center for Energy, Climate, and Environment at The Heritage Foundation, and is a professor emeritus at the University of Delaware. He is also the co-author of the book “Climate and Energy: The Case for Realism.”
We put a pin in one such prediction earlier this month, and followed up with the first set of confounding factors.  There's a lot more at the essay, including a number of charts suggesting all sorts of variability in hurricane activity, and a claim that the most active recorded hurricane seasons occurred during the Little Ice Age.  (Was it a late season hurricane that claimed Monitor?)

THE CASE FOR SUBURBAN LIVING.

Two apparently unrelated essays from the left wing make it.  We start with Stan Cox, part of the Common Dreams stable of provocateurs who provoke laughter, now pronouncing anathema on air conditioning.  (Never mind that all the weather broadcasters encourage people to seek shelter there as the temperatures do their summer thing.)  Mr Cox grants leave to do so, although not without the scolding.
I’ve always made it a point to emphasize the life-saving role that air-conditioning plays during severe heatwaves, stressing that what I want to see eliminated is the routine overcooling that occurs at other times. Consider the widespread American practice of keeping windows closed year-round and simply switching the thermostat from “heat” to “cool” in the spring and back to “heat” in the fall. That not only wastes energy and increases emissions, but also squanders opportunities to enjoy comfortably warm stretches of summertime and comfortably cool stretches of winter that commonly occur in much of the country. Sadly, though, if those grim climate forecasts prove correct (and unless global emissions are reduced dramatically and fast, there’s no doubt they will be), such temperate summer interludes will become rarer and shorter in the years ahead, and Americans will become even more dependent on indoor cooling.

I’m not going to stop defending open windows or critiquing air-conditioning just because the world’s getting hotter, but I’ll need to stress more than ever that the harms aggravated by air-conditioning extend well beyond global warming.
It being Common Dreams, those "harms" include a place of your own with an ample yard for the kiddos to play on.
I’ve often argued that air-conditioning’s role in molding America’s built environment and society in general is underappreciated. An exception was a 1999 survey in which members of the Society for American City and Regional Planning History were asked to rank “the top 10 influences on the American metropolis of the past 50 years.” Air-conditioning made the list at number nine. More importantly, through its key role in the massive post-World War II population movement from Rustbelt to Sunbelt, air-conditioning helped drive six more of those top-ten influences: the de-industrialization of northern cities; Sunbelt-style urban sprawl; enclosed shopping malls; downtown redevelopment; the Levittown-style suburban tract house (which, without air-conditioning, could have functioned only as what Fortune magazine characterized in 1953 as a “TV-equipped hotbox”); and the dominance of the automobile. (Imagine hundreds of thousands of sweat-soaked commuters stuck, windows down, under the August sun, in one of Atlanta’s or Dallas’ legendary traffic jams.)
That's in the usual line of Social Criticism from the collectivist types, right back to the first tract houses for returning G.I.s.  Perhaps the planned use development is an evolutionary dead end.

ENCOURAGING FAVORABLE SELF-SELECTION?

Our President has issued another ukase, this one intending to bring illegal aliens married to citizens who have generally stayed in work and out of jail into something resembling regular status, if not yet permanent resident visas let alone starting the clock to apply for citizenship.  The first link goes to the full statement.  Two passages are salient for today's post.  First, the policy gets rid of the "go away and reapply" elements of current policy.  "This new process will help certain noncitizen spouses and children apply for lawful permanent residence – status that they are already eligible for – without leaving the country."  Second, the ukase, provided it survives the legislative and legal scrutiny that's probably already under way, is consistent with the underground-economy-as-apprenticeship model of illegal immigration and amnesty that Eli Katz and I once wrote about.  "In order to be eligible, noncitizens must – as of June 17, 2024 – have resided in the United States for 10 or more years and be legally married to a U.S. citizen, while satisfying all applicable legal requirements. On average, those who are eligible for this process have resided in the U.S. for 23 years."

14.6.24

ENJOYING THE WAR OF ALL AGAINST ALL?

So it goes when a noncooperative equilibrium breaks down.  "Once the punishment cycles start, though, everybody suffers."  In National Review, Berkeley attorney and Republican court intellectual John Yoo appears to be calling for at least one more punishment cycle.  "To limit and undo that damage and restore the rule of law, Republicans may have no choice but to respond in kind."

Look, I don't know when this cold civil war started, was it the Canon Wars on campus, was it the House Republicans impeaching Bill Clinton, might it have been simmering since Ronald Reagan called the Soviet Union an "evil empire?"  Donald Trump having the effrontery to stand for the presidency, to win the nomination, to then be elected president: a symptom of something gone wrong, which seems to be shaping up as a failure of the Credentialed Elite.

FRIDAY short TAKES.

We, the people, have had enough of Our Progressive Betters.  "They ignored citizens who were fed up with being overrun by "immigrants," run over by inflation, beaten up by skyrocketing energy costs, pursuing "Green" policies that delivered the opposite result promised, suffering while waiting for a boiling frog Climate Apocalypse that never arrives but never ends and watching their national identities and standard of living being stripped away before their very eyes."  After a century of those Wise Experts being anything but, it's time to turf them out.  "As we, as a society, continue to destroy any sense of community, any sense of autonomy, any sense of personal responsibility, and liberty, as we continue to invest more and more power in people and institutions far removed from our lives and our interests, we also continue to make elections and elected officials more and more important in the operation of those lives. We continue to give people who are not especially smart, especially talented or even especially competent greater and greater control over us." Put succinctly, "People are annoyed by so much bureaucracy from Brussels."  They applied a corrective.  "Voters went to the polls and delivered a well-deserved and long-overdue thrashing of the malignant Left in voting for the European Parliament."  Why?  "Voters simply don’t trust mainstream parties to control immigration."  (Or much of anything else!)  No doubt there are latter-day Peter Jennings types scolding voters for having a temper tantrum.  Tango Sierra.


The weekly round-up of mostly pithy elaborations on mostly traditional Cold Spring Shops themes follows.

SPEECH CODES ARE ALWAYS BAD.

I am not a fan of speech codes.  "My stance has always been 'Justice, freedom: still contested territory. Whether it is black or Palestinian or male lives that are being diminished by the administrative ethos, it is the administrative ethos that is wrong."  Nor am I impressed by legislation with ambitious sounding titles, and if the title becomes a twee acronym, my irritation only increases.

NARRATIVE JOURNALISM EXISTS.

I mean, when James Joyner of the establishmentarian Outside the Beltway catches it?  "A non-ruling by the Supreme Court is being touted as something else."  Is the continuance of a right to purchase more important than the legalities?  You decide.
Headline-only readers—which is to say, most readers—will come away with the impression that the Supreme Court ruled on the merits that there is a right to access this abortifacient. But they did no such thing. They simply ruled that the group of doctors who brought the suit lacked standing to do so.
The right to continue to purchase mifepristone, for now, might matter to the voters. As, perhaps, might downplaying the process when there's another narrative about how appointing Constitution-respecting Justices is a horrible form of court packing.

Perhaps, in a world with a greater respect for factual reporting, rather than celebrating personal truths that are anything but, the rephrasing Mr Joyner suggests would be what we read.
Even here, though, readers will likely come away with the impression that there was a ruling on the merits. Something like “Supreme Court Declines to Rule in Abortion Drug Mifepristone Case” would better serve the readers.
Perhaps, although reporters, copy editors, and whoever writes the headline would then get caught up in what the lede ought to be.  I bet there are a lot more readers for whom the continuing opportunity to buy abortion pills matters a lot more than the Court's reasoning, let alone the legal maneuvering to come up with a new petitioner with a better claim to standing.

13.6.24

REDISCOVERING AN OLD IDEA?

The editorial board at Chicago's Tribune recently hailed the completion of the South Shore Line's double tracking project as far as Michigan City, which included a restoration of more frequent trains.
On May 14, just in time for warm-weather trips to the Indiana Dunes National Park, the line, run by the Northern Indiana Commuter Transportation District (NICTD), will introduce a new expanded train schedule, a consequence of the completed double tracking of its electric-powered corridor lining Chicago and Northwest Indiana.

The improvements are very impressive. The South Shore Line, which was built between 1901 and 1908, now will offer an additional 14 weekday trains, including new express service that will take travelers from Chicago’s Millennium Station to the lovely dunes in just 57 minutes. As anyone headed to Indiana and Michigan resort towns will attest, those times are tough to beat by car, especially during the morning and evening rush. Improvements in addition to the new 18 miles of double tracking include new stations, better accessibility at existing stations, more parking, fewer at-grade crossings and expanded accommodations for bikes. Michigan City, a lakefront town with much potential that needs a lot of help given its struggling outlet mall and sleepy downtown, will be one of the major beneficiaries with its new 11th Street station. And students at Notre Dame now will find it much easier to hop a train to spend a day or a weekend in Chicago.
A few years ago I stumbled upon a party of North Carolina State fans enroute to a game in the shadow of Touchdown Jesus.  The South Bend service has not yet been augmented, the line east of Shops is still an interurban time machine, and the Morning and Evening Hot Shots drag lots of empty cars from or to South Bend thanks to new regulations that make adding or dropping cars at Shops only slightly less of a production than rendezvous and docking at the Space Station, while South Bend's government wrangles over whether to bring the trains to the west side of the airport, speeding up that trip, or return the trains to somewhere downtown, possibly the still-standing joint station next to the baseball park..

None of which deterred a writer to the Tribune, a few days later, from Thinking Big.  (Quoting from the May 8 edition on paper):
These upgraded electric-powered double tracks provide a real opportunity for expanded service from Chicago to the East, especially as Amtrak struggles to bring in trains over freight-owned or controlled tracks into Union Station.

Imagine inviting Brightline, the company building high-speed trains from Las Vegas to Los Angeles, to build high-speed tracks from this beautiful new asset to South Bend all the way to the Acela line on the East Coast.
I wonder if the corporate shell of the Goshen South Bend and Chicago Railway is still available.  Yes, Brightline being active at building Passenger Rail projects is encouraging, and yes, Indianans taking an interest in Regional Rail once again (first let's restore daily service between Chicago and Indianapolis, that once offered by a private contractor who got out); and yet there's nothing like excess enthusiasm to midwive disappointment.

LEON TROTSKY, MAY I INTRODUCE MILTON FRIEDMAN?

Regular readers are aware of where the real debt ceiling is.

Last week, Nick Beams at the World Socialist Web Site called attention to it.
Financial markets appear to have been enjoying a period of relative calm in the past year since they were shaken by the failure of three significant US banks in March 2023, requiring rescue operations by financial authorities.

But there are signs of turmoil building up beneath the surface. They centre on continuing possible liquidity problems in the $26 trillion US Treasury market, the basis of the global financial system, signs of currency divergences and concerns over the growing role of private credit in the financial system.

Last week a tremor went through the Treasury market when there was what was characterised as a “shaky auction” for $44 billion worth of seven-year US Treasury notes. The shortage of buyers mean that the big banks, which are crucial to the operation of their market as primary dealers, had to make up for the shortfall and purchase 17 percent of the debt, somewhat higher than the norm.

This followed an auction the previous day when there was subdued demand in an auction of two- and five-year debt.

The lack of demand, sending the price of debt lower, meant that the interest rate on the 10-year bond (the two move in the opposite direction), went to 4.63 percent, higher than it has been in some weeks.

The immediate cause is the realisation that the Federal Reserve is not going to make significant cuts in interest rates in the near future. At the start of this year, markets were pricing in as many as six rate cuts by the Fed in 2024. Now there are predictions there may not even be one.
We all know that, as we know the outcome: the money center banks who do the open market operations on behalf of the Fed had to add the unsold bonds to their balance sheets, thus crowding out those banks' ability to lend for such things as houses, locomotives, or hot pepper canneries.  Meanwhile China is going broke, slowly.
A fall in the value of the renminbi would impact on other countries, especially in Asia, which depend on the Chinese market, and could lead to stepped up action from the US, which has already accused China of dumping cheap products on the US and world markets. A devaluation would further lower the price of Chinese goods in the US and other markets.

But a one-off devaluation is a possibility because, as one Shanghai-based currency trader told the FT, there was “enormous downward pressure that has built up over the past few months.”

Another potential source of instability, already pointed out by the International Monetary Fund and other financial institutions, is the growth of private credit funding.
What's the big deal? Only this, dear reader: nowhere in that factually accurate column do you find any of the expected crowing about the final crisis of capitalism or the boilerplate closing paragraphs about the Vanguard of the Revolution.

STANDARDIZATION BEGETS MEDIOCRITY.

That's not necessarily a bad thing.  The sort of travel snob who scoffs at McDonald's and Holiday Inn misses the value proposition of those enterprises, which is that the fries would be hot and the room spruced up, and in summer there would be a pool for the kiddos.  At least that was true during the American High; of late, McDonald's have been trashing their value proposition and diners are noticing: although in their defense, on weekend mornings they were the only eatery operating in suburban Manchester and serving strong coffee the few times I've been there.

12.6.24

ALL ETERNITY TO MAKE AMENDS TO JOHN MCADAMS.

Marquette University announces the passing, at a relatively young age, of president Michael Lovell.
Marquette University President Michael Lovell died on Sunday following a three-year battle with cancer and a decade of service to the university, the university announced over the weekend.

Lovell was the first lay president in the Jesuit school's 133-year history and was in Rome on a Jesuit formation pilgrimage when he became sick and was taken to a hospital.

Lovell became Marquette's president in 2014 and focused on devotion and care for the campus and surrounding Milwaukee area.
Mr Lovell made an intra-city move, being called from Wisconsin-Milwaukee to Marquette.  Both he and his successor as Milwaukee chancellor, Mark Mone, recently dealt with cancer.

The article notes a number of difficulties that arose during Mr Lovell's presidency.
Faculty and staff objected to Lovell laying off 39 employees in 2021 as part of an effort to “right-size” the university. More recently, his plan to cut $31 million over the next seven years drew substantial pushback from staff who decried what they saw as a lack of transparency.

Campus climate also drew concern. As racial justice protests swept the country in 2020, Marquette students of color demanded more campus support. The university agreed to fund a Black student cultural center, hire Black mental health counselors and offer 40 new full-ride scholarships for Milwaukee Public Schools graduates.

Two years later, students of color disrupted a freshman welcome event to protest what they saw as a lack of resources for students of color. Marquette sanctioned the students, a move that outraged some members of the campus community who saw the punishment as missing the larger point students were trying to make.
So it has gone with higher education.  Marquette is far from the only university where the administrators have usurped faculty governance, and sanctioning dissidents is not unknown, even when the Jesuits aren't doing the sanctioning.  "The Foundation for Individual Rights in Education notes that President Lovell has done nothing to change Marquette's status among the worst schools for free speech.  It's fitting, I suppose, that a university notionally run by Jesuits would continue a tradition dating back to the Diet of Worms."

Now both Michael Lovell and John McAdams have departed this life.  R.I.P.

LOSING SKIPPERS BLAME THE RACE COMMITTEE.

American Thinker contributor Mike McDaniel summarizes in a brief passage why the Wise Experts aren't.
Their policies are perfect, non-falsifiable. They cannot fail. Yet they inevitably fail, and when they do, the fun begins. When Americans refuse to buy EVs that can only be because they’re too stupid to know what’s in their best interests. When they can’t afford an EV, that’s only because they don’t appreciate how good the economy actually is. When they complain about brownouts, they’re climate deniers.
The excuses offered may or may not be correct.  It doesn't matter.  The legislation, or the ukase, looked so good on the workshop room blackboard, and the Intentions were Good.  How dare you question our Good Intentions?