16.6.23

FRIDAY short TAKES.

We can only choose our principles.  Right now, I grow weary of deflection from the political class.  Instead of pointing to Chinese spy balloons overhead during the previous presidency, shoot them down on your watch.  Instead of pointing to boxes in Joe Biden's garage, take care of your own boxes.  They don't: "How many of them have ever considered the possibility that perhaps it is precisely those critical periods in which the rule of fairness is particularly important?"  Principles?   “Is the answer to the double standard to let Donald Trump escape scot-free? Is the answer to the double standard to revert to no standard at all?”  Pooh!  Hegemonic bias.  We got the hegemony, deplorables.  "Equal justice ought to be the goal, not using the Department of Justice as a political weapon to destroy an opponent."

Then there's the presidency.  Donald Trump Brought This on Himself.  "I so wish he could contain himself."  Sometimes the opposition tells you what your best friends won't.  "Conservatives have never managed to adopt as conventional wisdom the much simpler explanation that in 2020, a really disorganized and incompetent president blew a very winnable election, even though this level of chaos was typical of his whole presidency."  It is time for establishment Republicans to recognize the truth.  "Say in public those things about Donald Trump that you so often say in private."


Clowns to the left of me, jokers to the right?

The weekly round-up of pithy elaborations on traditional Cold Spring Shops themes follows.

IT'S AN INSULT TO THE ITINERANT CIRCUS.

Miranda Devine uses that comparison to the Jarrett regency's strip show.  "The whole debased circus of Joe Biden’s 'Pride' extravaganza will go down in history as a metaphor for his presidency."

That's Friday short take material, but for the elaborations that follow.
There are certain standards of decorum and norms of behavior that this president and his administration continue to transgress, from arresting his political opponent to promoting depravity.

Biden’s seeming cognitive confusion is no excuse. He knows exactly what he’s doing: pandering to a perceived voter bloc of narcissistic TikTokers and impressionable youth while indulging his favorite muscle memory, sticking it to conservatives.

But tough luck for an unpopular president: Support for transgender tyranny is plummeting amid parental pushback.

The latest Gallup poll reveals social conservatism at its highest level in over a decade.
Reality is socially conservative, and the administration's Cabaret on the South Lawn simply reminds people what's at stake.
These results are not bigotry but common sense at a moment in history when the grownups in charge have lost their minds.

Compassion for the tiny percentage of adults who are gender-dysphoric is a good thing, but it is not a green light for gender-transitioning toddlers.

The same Americans surveyed by Gallup who overwhelmingly embrace same-sex marriage reject the lie that biological sex is malleable.

Sane parents object to schools and Disney confusing their children with nonsense about whether they are boys or girls — and exposing them to gratuitous sexual content way beyond their years.
Is it that difficult to understand that sex is binary, while personality is a continuum?  The occasional chromosomal aberration is a canonical example of the exception that proves the rule:  sex is binary.  That people play around with personalities is part of growing up; and growing up ought come with the understanding that you are free to play around with whatever personality you want, but I don't have to associate with you, let alone affirm your choices.

Ultimately, there are limits to transgressivity.  "But degeneracy is the animating force of the progressive left which has captured the Democratic Party, and, shockingly, the White House."  It might be that the transgressive left has pushed people too far in affirming those transitioning toddlers, and I can think of no position more likely to keep the polity in a prolonged grim strategy equilibrium.

15.6.23

FRANKFURT-AM-MENDOTASEE?

It came to this, dear reader, when Oscar Mayer renamed the Wienermobile.
For the first time in nearly a century the Oscar Mayer Wienermobile has a new name: the Frankmobile. Before you light up the torches and grab for your pitchforks, looking at you Twitter, let us explain. The Kraft Heinz Company, who owns Oscar Mayer, says that the name change is to celebrate the brand's "100-percent beef franks" as the company debuts a new recipe of frankfurter. For those not hip on hot dog culture, while "wiener" is used to describe any type of mixed meat stuffed into a tube, "frank" often refers to an all-beef product of the same design (we all learned something today).
It sounds like somebody at Kraft has been corrupted by filthy influences from Chicago, home of the Vienna Beef Franks, which, in their kosher version, become the meat that holds the Chicago hot dog salad together.  The company is also test-grilling other changes in their nomenclature.
Along with the name change, the company will be adorning the fleet of wiener wagons with new exterior decals that inform patrons of the transformation and advise them not to lick the wiener, err, frank. Drivers of the Frankmobile will no longer be referred to as "Hotdoggers" and instead will be called "Frankfurters." Finally, the small "Wiener Whistle" toy (a Wienermobile-shaped whistle) given out to children when the dog rolls into town will now be known as "Frank Whistles" (super original, we know).
Oh, I'm glad I'm not an Oscar Mayer wiener. That is what I cannot hope to be. For if I were an Oscar Mayer wiener, Corporate would do away with me.

ONCE YOU'RE IN A GRIM STRATEGY PUNISHMENT CYCLE, GETTING OUT IS HARD.

As Michael Goodwin puts it in New York's Post, “We’re not voting our way out of this.”  Here, "this" is the ongoing cold civil war, and he's pessimistic.
Exhibit A is a Democratic president’s willingness to use the Department of Justice as a weapon against his leading Republican rival.

There are many good reasons why no former president has ever faced criminal charges, and it’s not because they behaved as angels for the rest of their lives starting the minute they left office.

It’s because previous generations understood there had to be limits to the use of government power, or the country would tear itself to pieces every time the presidency changed hands.

But the far-left wing that has taken over the Democratic Party always knows best and believes it can cancel its opponents by shutting them up or, in this case, locking them up.

As always with them, this time is different because they are morally superior people.
The balance of his column features disaffected Normals and the Weimar freak show the Jarrett regency continues to put on.  That's not a good place to be, but it's not unfamiliar, at least if you've been around a while.
In the closing weeks of 1969, a debate broke out in the pages of National Review about how American conservatives should respond to the threat posed by the New Left—the expanded universe of socialists, civil rights activists, anti-war protesters, feminists, environmentalists, and other lefty radicals then making political waves. Fifteen months earlier, police and demonstrators had met in a bloody clash outside the Democratic National Convention. The year before that had seen the storied "summer of love," coverage of which drove home for many Americans the sweeping cultural changes that were afoot.

For an ornery political science professor named Donald Atwell Zoll, the implications of these developments were clear: Conservatives must reject liberalism's thanatos, or death wish—"its preference for extinction (with its ideological purities preserved) as against adaptation or revision." By purities, he meant commitments to pluralism, individualism, and proceduralism, the "rules of the game" by which liberals were convinced opposing groups could coexist in peace.

The core problem, Zoll wrote, was that the New Left had proven itself uninterested in playing by those rules. "Its adherents were obviously willing to shoot at people," he claimed. "When they talked about 'revolution,' they meant storming a hundred Bastilles, not changing the minds of men after the fashion of older and more comfortable collectivists."
We're still around, the article continues, and in the same way that the crazies of a half century ago alienated the Normals, the contemporary crazies are also alienating the Normals.
Notwithstanding all the tumult of the '60s and '70s, the New Left did fail to bring down the liberal order or bring about a violent social upheaval. Not one Bastille has been toppled in America, let alone a hundred. Democratic pluralism has endured. Totalitarian radicalism has not yet won the day. The cultural cataclysm remains, as ever, in the future.

Is there reason to believe the danger now is greater than it was then? Are Ahmari and his fellow travelers more likely to be right about the intensity and imminence of the threat they face than their predecessors were? Time alone will say for sure, although it's worth noticing that most state and local governments, nearly all law enforcement agencies, the military, and the Supreme Court in 2023 skew conservative.
That last sentence might be looking at state and local governments, city prosecutors, and high-level military too kindly, and yet, the signs of a restoration of a state of good order are around us, if we only look, and without the punishment cycles of the grim strategy outcome.

A CASE WORTHY OF ABRAHAM LINCOLN.

Before he got into politics, he was a pretty good railway lawyer, successfully arguing that the Rock Island Lines could bridge the Mississippi River.  Back in the day, that case involved the commercial interests of the steam packet boats that were the fastest transportation in the area.

These days, the rent-seekers are pleasure boaters, and they seek to slow down the fastest rail transportation in Florida.
The U.S. Coast Guard has issued an order changing rules for opening Florida East Coast Railway’s single-track drawbridge over the Okeechobee Waterway of the St. Lucie River that could seriously disrupt Brightline’s plan to begin hourly service between Miami and Orlando this summer.

The change could also result in miles-long FEC freight trains blocking six highway crossings in downtown Stuart for an extended period.

The “temporary deviation” order, which the Coast Guard says is to test the new drawbridge operating plan, will be in effect June 21 through Dec. 17. It dictates that the bridge must open at 15 and 45 minutes past every hour and stay open for up to 15 minutes to allow all boats to pass. An approaching train in the track circuit at the designated opening time could delay the opening no more than 5 minutes.
If that approaching train is a freight train, it might not cross that bridge in the five minutes provided.  The bridge is still a single track bridge, and its location is at just the place where Brightline's proposed memory pattern schedules put trains in conflict with the planned bridge openings.
The hourly schedules Brightline issued in May have been devised so trains avoid conflicts on the mostly single-track, 125-mph segment between Cocoa and Orlando International Airport [see “Brightline tickets now on sale …,” News Wire, May 17, 2023] Based on those schedules, News Wire estimates most Brightline trains would pass through Stuart at 22 and 42 minutes past the hour. Though most freight trains operate at night through the area, any northbound train waiting for a Brightline train to clear could conceivably block downtown Stuart’s six highway crossings through two bridge opening cycles.

News Wire attempted to reach the Coast Guard’s Florida bridge management specialist to ascertain whether any of these factors were considered. That call was not returned.
The policy dispute, not surprisingly, involves Florida representative Brian Mast, who has a history of going after Amtrak expenditures and now considers a privately operated passenger train some sort of affront.

Presumably Florida East Coast could hold northbound freight trains elsewhere if a conflict of nearly an hour with the passenger trains and the boaters loomed, although that militates against the kind of expedited delivery the railroad likes to provide.  A latter-day Abraham Lincoln might be helpful.
The Palm Beach Post reports Brightline and Florida East Coast said in a joint statement that they are prepared to take whatever steps are necessary to reverse the decision and cannot comply with the Coast Guard directive. Brightline, which said the decision “will also impact freight and commerce throughout the entire state of Florida,” said it expected to lose more than 50% of its customers, which would threaten its ability to pay off private activity bond stockholders.
The Orlando service will commence sometime this summer. Perhaps the Coast Guard will rethink its regulatory taking by then.

DIVISION IN DIVERSITY.

The words share a common root, one that does not connote togetherness, let alone unity.  We've been following the efforts of school districts in Wisconsin's lake country to dial back the displays during the identity politics theme months, arguing the displays don't produce social solidarity.  There might be a pattern of push-back against faddish diversity emerging, in the lake country and elsewhere.

14.6.23

THE TROLLEY-LESS TRACKLESS TROLLEY.

That struck me as an interesting concept when Siemens rolled it out in Hamburg.

It's now the Next Shiny Thing in Milwaukee.


Chuck Quirmbach photograph retrieved from WUWM.

It's also a Shiny Thing currently relying on Other Peoples' Money.
The battery electric bus route known as Connect 1 or BRT, started this week in Milwaukee County. But the transit system, researchers, and employment groups say they're also focused on the so-called "fiscal cliff" that the bus service faces in coming years.

Tuesday morning, a battery-powered Connect 1 bus offered a free and efficient ride from Wauwatosa to downtown Milwaukee, via Bluemound Road, Hawley Road and Wisconsin Avenue. A recording announced to passengers the upcoming crossing of 27th Street.

"Twenty-seventh Street. BRT station, Transfer to Purple Line," riders heard over the bus PA system.

More than $40 million in federal money funded the battery electric buses and more than 30 new bus stops, newly built. A sponsorship deal is keeping the Connect 1 rides free through the end of September.
Years ago the Route Ten streetcar ran as far west as the Milwaukee County Institutions near Swan Boulevard and Watertown Plank Road, and it connected with the 27 car line at ... Wells and 27th.  That started coming apart when residents saw the advantages of the horseless carriage, and then Our Intellectual Betters got the idea that The Milwaukee Electric Railway and Light Company was a pyramid scheme, not an integrated seller of light, heat, and traction.  And thus we are at a pass to come when that money runs out.
"If we just looked at the lowest performing routes in the system, that would be cutting about half the routes throughout the county. In terms of businesses and employers, about 2,300 businesses that employ 70,000 workers. So, pretty dramatic. Those businesses would not be along a bus route anymore under that scenario. And 125,000 people would no longer have access to a bus route — senior citizens, people with disabilities and certainly, persons of color," [transit authority official Tom] Winter warned.
Existing passengers on what passes for the city bus service don't like what would come after the cutbacks. But raising vehicle registration fees won't sit well with people who are bypassing the buses with their motorcars.

CONGRESS IS THE CUBE ROOT OF ALL EVIL.

Glenn "Insta Pundit" Reynolds now has a Substack site for longer form essays, the most recent of which tackles a reconstruction of the Federal institutions.  "Congress is a problem, but is it also too small?"

I am of the view that it is, for a different set of reasons than those he covers.
It's been close to a hundred years since the House of Representatives added more seats, and it's my sense that the electoral vote anomalies of recent years reflect in part that constraint.  There's a lengthy Geoffrey Skelley essay on the merits, or not, of adding seats to the House.  The article notes, in passing, how the country came close to one of those electoral vote anomalies just before Congress got its 435 seats.  It makes reference to Matthew "Fruits and Votes" Shugart and his useful cube root rule for determining the size of an elected body.
The value of that rule is that it suggests an expansion of the House of Representatives as the population increases, but not directly with that increase.  Thus, we don't have to have as many Representatives as there are (allegedly) lakes in Minnesota.
A 1500-member House might be a good compromise, but I’m happy with the idea of it going bigger. (I’d honestly be okay with 10,000 representatives). Congress has shrunk not only in relation to the population, but also, even more so, in relation to the size of the federal government, which has vastly expanded since the House’s size was fixed in 1929. Holding Congress’s size down not only hasn’t kept government small, it may even have helped make it bigger and more intrusive, and certainly less supervised.

Right now members are too busy to do their actual jobs. They’re constantly raising money (smaller districts would require less, and yield fewer donations from interest groups because they wouldn’t be worth as much). They’re often double-scheduled with committee hearings and important meetings, and they wind up leaving the vast majority of Congress’s work to unelected staffers. One justification for the transfer of power to bureaucracies is that Congress is too busy already. A bigger Congress would help with that.
It doesn't have to be that large a House yet, as the cube root of 330 million is about 700, and yes, that might mean more bodies to put on committees, although I have memories from higher education of how committee assignments would expand to exhaust the available faculty.  More districts might make election of a legislative body that more closely approximates the multicultural makeup of the population, even with more sensibly drawn simplest closed regions for the districts.  On the other hand, the likes of Ilhan Omar or Marjorie Taylor Greene might become more common in more politically homogeneous districts.  That's a case for limiting the scope of government, something that might happen organically as those True Believers gridlock themselves.  Like all else in life, it's about the tradeoffs.
With representatives measuring in the thousands instead of the hundreds, there would be more targets.  The return for lobbying any particular one would be small.  And members representing smaller districts would presumably hew closer to the wishes of their constituents, making them harder to lobby toward positions their constituents don’t share.

And a Congress with thousands of members would have less mystique, which I think is also good.  Government shouldn’t have a lot of mystique, since it’s a fundamentally shady operation that should be viewed with skepticism by the citizenry at all times.

Not everyone agrees with [Danielle] Allen’s idea.  Lawprof Steven Lubet argues that a bigger Congress wouldn’t make Congress more efficient, which I’m untroubled by,  and his fears that trans activists and other apostles of wokery wouldn’t get enough attention don’t persuade me that the approach is necessarily flawed.

But maybe it’s a bad idea.  Given Mark Twain’s famous statement that there is no native American criminal class, except Congress, maybe we don’t want to enlarge that class.  More members of Congress, more criminals?

Making Congress “more efficient” might actually be a bad idea, depending on how you measure efficiency.  Putting out more laws would be greater “efficiency” to some, but since I see the role of Congress as making it harder for bills to pass – the “I’m just a bill” Schoolhouse Rock episode illustrates how that works --greater efficiency might involve far more scrutiny of what the government does.  More members of Congress means more people to actually read bills.  More members of Congress means more people to oversee the unelected bureaucracy.  More members of Congress means more representatives to act as ombudsmen for citizens having trouble getting the government to act as it should.  All of this seems more efficient in some important ways.
As long as he's on a roll, he's suggesting changes in the rest of the federal government.
And what about the Senate? The Senate is there to represent states, not people. Post-Seventeenth Amendment, it’s elected by the people of each state, rather than the legislature, but nonetheless it’s a body that is fundamentally meant to represent the interests of the states, not of the people as such. (A small, but growing, cadre thinks the Seventeenth Amendment was a mistake and should be repealed. To paraphrase Chief Justice Marshall, there is great force to this argument, and I am not satisfied that it has been refuted, but that’s a topic for another essay.) But given their role, more Senators wouldn’t really have a desirable impact. (One might argue that the states themselves should be smaller, but that’s a different, and probably impossible, project, and one which the Constitution more-or-less forbids.)

The Executive Branch has gotten bigger, vastly so. If it’s to change in size, it should be in the other direction.

The judiciary should probably get bigger. In particular, the Supreme Court should be larger. Right now, the untimely death – or even the timely death – of a justice or two could set the nation on its ear. When the nation can be thrown for a loop by the death of an 80-year-old, something is wrong. (And it is a temptation to would-be assassins, as we’ve already seen).
The original intent for the Supreme Court was for each Justice to be supervising judge in the Circuit Courts of Appeals, which provided at least some basis for its size. The Reynolds proposal might turn the Supreme Court into a second Senate, of sorts.
In the past I have jokingly proposed expanding the Supreme Court by letting each governor nominate a justice from his/her home state, while keeping the appointment of nine “at large” justices in the hands of the President. But the more I’ve thought about this, the less jokey it seems. A 59-justice court would be big enough to make it immune to sudden changes based on death by natural causes or otherwise. Choosing justices from the 50 states would also make it more diverse – possibly in terms of race and gender and so on, but certainly in other ways. Right now our Supreme Court is composed of what Dahlia Lithwick has called “judicial thoroughbreds” – hard-charging careerists with well-honed resumes who have been careful not to take any chances that might keep them off the top bench. Their backgrounds are so similar that it’s hard to tell their biographies apart when the names are removed, as Ben Barton demonstrated in his excellent book, The Credentialed Court. That’s unlikely for the state-appointed justices under my proposal.
Let's see what comes of it. Nobody ever said that self-governance was easy.

SHE'S BEEN HAD.

A Feminist Regrets is a recent American Thinker column.
A recent letter to advice columnist Dear Abby from a 32-year-old single woman caught my attention.

Her 20s were spent in a serious long-term relationship. When that ended, she took a couple of years to "sow her wild oats" and to find out who she was as an individual.

She is now looking for something more than "friends with benefits." The problem is that the last few men she has met on dating sites and gone on dates with were just looking for hookups. At 32 and painfully aware that her biological clock is ticking, she seeks a life partner.
Reality was leading by several runs thirty years ago, some people are slow learners.
Declaring themselves feminists in their college years and seduced by the siren song of sex without consequences, they too "sowed their wild oats" throughout their twenties. Now in their thirties and beyond, their biological clocks tick louder each day as the years inexorably slip by.

They are learning the hard way that all actions have consequences, some immediate, some belated.
Sounds like that long-ago editorial, doesn't it? "Today the only victors in the sexual revolution are those men and women who are good-looking and clever enough to enjoy multiple partners with a minimum of emotional and financial commitment."

At Tilting at Windmills, Tom Knighton suggests that those Enlightened Lonely Hearts brought that pass upon themselves.  "It was always possible to empower women without trying to tear masculinity down, which is what has been happening."  In the end, they've been had.
Only it turns out they aren’t into the soy boys they’re finding on the left and are upset that those who still hold the values they find attractive aren’t interested in an ideology telling them to drop all of that.

Funny how that shakes out, isn’t it?
Maybe in a few millennia we got some things right.  Those contemporary mating practices, perhaps an evolutionary dead end.

IT'S NOT CONSERVATION, IT'S DEPRIVATION.

Common Dreams contributor Basav Sen threatens Our President's re-election.  "Biden can still take decisive action in defense of people and the planet — and maybe save his political career, too." It's a threat from the environmentalist wacko constituency.
Biden’s reelection may well hinge on turnout among young voters who care passionately about the climate.

But worryingly for Biden, a Fossil Free Media and Data for Progress poll this spring showed a dramatic drop in approval for the president’s climate and energy policies, particularly among independent voters and youth. The dip followed Biden’s decision to approve the Willow oil drilling project in Alaska, breaking a campaign promise to end oil and gas leasing on public lands and waters.
They'll argue with Democrats, vote for Democrats, and then complain that people aren't being deprived enough.
[T]he Biden administration has approved more oil and gas drilling permits on public lands than the Trump administration did over an equivalent period of time. They’re permitting a massive buildout of oil and gas export terminals on the Gulf Coast and have approved other harmful fossil fuel projects like the Mountain Valley Pipeline.

Even the Biden administration’s biggest climate achievement, the Inflation Reduction Act, mandated oil and gas leases on public lands and waters as a condition for renewable energy leases and offered subsidies for unproven, dangerous carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies to prolong the life of the fossil fuel industry.

A rule on limiting electric power plant emissions the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is likely to propose soon also relies on CCS technology.
Mr Sen, though, makes an in-kind contribution to the Trump re-election efforts, although he probably doesn't know it.
Biden still has the opportunity to win back that trust by reversing course on fossil fuels.

He can direct federal agencies to stop appealing court decisions overturning permits for controversial projects such as the Mountain Valley Pipeline. He can also direct them to stop issuing permits for new fossil fuel infrastructure. He can use his executive power to ban crude oil exports. Best of all, he can declare a climate emergency, unlocking a wide range of powers to transition the U.S. from fossil fuels.
Let's see: you can't shower up properly, you can't wash your clothes properly, you'll be better off hand-washing all your dishes, and you won't be able to recharge your electric car because there's not enough sunlight and wind to power the rechargers, let alone the washing machines.  Without those compromises in those misnamed Acts of Congress that Our President will be hailing as Legislative Accomplishments, there would not have been even the misnamed Inflation Reduction Act for him to sign.

Who knew the Indigenous Environmental Network wanted so badly to live off the land the way their ancestors did two centuries ago?

FIRST, INVOLVE ALL THE LAWYERS.

Hartland Arrowhead's "flags, signs, and divisive propaganda" policy is a committee report, not yet an action item for the full school board.  "The way in which the policy would be implemented will lead to a feeding frenzy for lawyers."  Better to seek the advice of counsel first?  "[T]he committee asked the district's legal counsel to review the policy and administrators to reach out to other districts with similar policies."

Meanwhile, the predictable side-taking continues.
In the meantime, the district's administration will reach out to the Waukesha, Kettle Moraine and Muskego-Norway school districts, which all have similar policies, to ask about policy implementation around bullying and disciplinary issues, First Amendment issues, student and staff reaction, their impact on staffing retention and any legal challenges.

Arrowhead's proposed policy seeks "to create safe, even, and fair environments for the academic achievement of all students" by prohibiting signs or other words implying certain areas are "safe spaces" because "all areas of AHS are, and should be considered safe spaces."
I would hope that by the time youngsters have reached high school, they'd have developed thicker skins, and "safe space" talk would be patronizing.  The lawyers, though, you shall always have to deal with.
[S]chool board member Craig Thompson opposed the policy, saying it is too vaguely worded.

To make his point, he showed an American flag sticker, a cross, a "Don't Tread On Me" paperweight, a Green Bay Packers pennant and pictures of variations of Green Bay Packers flags. He said that, under the policy, one of the Packers flags would be allowed because of its resemblance to an American flag, while the other would be prohibited. Thompson said he was "attempting to point out the probable confusion and contradictions inherent in adopting this policy" by displaying the items.
The full school board hopes to reach some sort of conclusion next week.

What's interesting is that Lake Country isn't a place of uniform comfort.
Parent John Norcross said it was a "bad policy," unnecessary and "badly written." He also questioned the timing of the meeting, saying it was held the same week as final exams for students.

"The administration is fully capable of regulating divisive symbols, etc. We have student food and home insecurity. We have buildings and infrastructure that need maintenance. There are protections for vulnerable kids and students in communities that aren't included in (that) policy that should be. You've got teacher attraction and retention. We should make the world easier. I could go through a very long list of things you could get to before you get to this one," Norcross said after the meeting.
What, there's an opportunity cost to sprucing up the athletic facilities, and working conditions matter to teachers?

13.6.23

SORRY, NOT THIS VALUE PROPOSITION.

I'm going to have to revise some previous remarks.  "The only thing worse than not being able to trade on your image as a college athlete is being able to trade on your image, and nobody is interested."  No, the only thing worse than nobody being interested is the wrong people being interested.  "The NCAA Has a ‘Hot Girl’ Problem."  Really?  "The Cavinder Twins, the emerging oligarchs of women’s college basketball, aren’t the best players. But they might be the best-looking."  To my eye, they're a little thin, but on social media, who knows?
While the Twins are accomplished basketball players—until recently, they played for Division I University of Miami—they’re nowhere near the top of the women’s basketball totem pole. The top players in college women’s basketball—like Keishana Washington at Drexel University or Caitlin Clark at University of Iowa—score close to 30 points per game. In her final year at Miami, Haley Cavinder scored just over 12 points per game; Hanna, just under 4 points. They were good, but not WNBA good.
The twins played for Miami of Florida, which is notorious for college sports scandals, and the WNBA has a different sort of hot girl problem, but the political economy of trading on your image is what's being contested here.
“If you look at the NIL girls, the first ones who were getting deals were the blonde girls,” Louis Moore, a sports historian at Grand Valley State University, told The Free Press. The Cavinder Twins, Moore said, have benefited handsomely from “their very blonde, girl-next-door looks,” posting videos of themselves in bikinis and tight-fitting dresses. Lots of their videos hint at the possibility of one twin having a boyfriend. Others wink at the male fantasy of group sex with identical sisters, featuring captions like “when he asks for blonde twins for Christmas” and “I want a girl with a twin sister.”

The Twins get their appeal. And even though they think it’s unfair that the mostly black top scorers in women’s college basketball make less than they do—including Louisiana State University’s Angel Reese and Flau’jae Johnson—that’s not stopping them.

“Obviously, everyone brings something different to the table. I think that all women should be empowered in a male-dominant world, especially minorities,” Haley says.
I found this story on Twitchy, where "justmindy" concludes, "Let's be real. This 'problem' seems like not much of a problem. If this is all the NCAA has to worry about, they must not have many worries."  That sounds about right.  The twins have gone on from Miami basketball to show business and making advertisements.  File this story along with the report on five-cheese penne.

THE FOUR NORSEMEN OF THE APOCALYPSE.

Minnesota's current state capitol is a victory monument.  Underneath the dome, though, the slim Democrat majority have just passed legislation intended to chase the productive people out.
Whenever a new half-baked state tax idea springs up, those familiar with such matters can usually guess the state responsible within two guesses. For years, New York and California have been the mad scientist laboratories of harmful tax and regulatory ideas, from “convenience of the employer” rules to automobile regulations to tax rates that make their own residents flee for safety. But while the sheer size of these two states makes it hard for any new state to join their ranks, Minnesota appears to be doing all it can to become a junior partner.
That essay is by a National Taxpayers Union analyst. He concludes, "The last thing the country needs is another California/New York mini-me. Unfortunately, that does appear to be where Minnesota is currently headed."  Like California and New York, Minnesota has been losing taxpayers to fleece.  The Free State of Iowa is just to its south.
Iowa is earning the nickname “Florida of the North” thanks to the conservative policies being pursued under the leadership of Governor Kim Reynolds, who economist Stephen Moore dubbed “America’s Margaret Thatcher.” Whether it is pro-growth tax policy, protecting life, strengthening Second Amendment rights, safeguarding families, or battling left wing culture war policies, Reynolds is governing according to conservative principles.
During a recent campaign appearance, Florida's governor Ron DeSantis quipped that Florida was the Iowa of the South.  Citizens in the Upper Midwest seem to be sorting themselves in a most Tieboutian way.
Minnesota is being held up by progressives across the United States as their model. President Obama has lauded it and the New York Times and Washington Post, among others, have run glowing reviews. If you want to know what the left would do to America, pay close attention to what it is doing to Minnesota.

Daniel Henninger recently wrote in The Wall Street Journal that the “2024 election is about running the federal government on the red-state model or blue-state model…” Both Iowa and Minnesota offer contrasting visions for their respective states. They also offer contrasting visions for America. Which will we take? We hope the nation will choose the Iowa model.
Those Minnesotans heading to Iowa might concur.




That image might tell you less than its authors would like you to believe.  Northwest Indiana and the southern counties of Wisconsin serve as bedroom suburbs for workers in greater Chicago, particularly the collar counties.  There certainly are choices for voters: the former Border States of Missouri and Kentucky to the south, the Free States of Iowa and Indiana to the west and east, the Gerrymandered State of Wisconsin to the north, and mini-Minnesota to the northeast.
As we wrote regarding the 2019-2020 IRS migration data released a few months ago, this data shows for yet another year Americans chose better managed, less expensive areas over larger, government-centric, high-cost cities and states. And it provides a glimpse of a demographic future in which states that prioritize an affordable, less intrusive government will dominate those that over-tax and over-regulate the lives and businesses of their residents.
Whether that will manifest itself in national votes or in the composition of Congress remains to be seen.

RETHINKING THE WATERFRONT EXPRESSWAY.

I characterized Dubuque's riverwalk, which is separated from the business district by such an expressway and a parking crater as an inorganic amenity.  To the north, Duluth also ran an expressway between its business district and its Lake Superior waterfront.  Perhaps that make sense when the waterfront was, well, a working waterfront, with grain elevators, coal docks, and iron boats.  More recently, though, the bulk traffic went away, and Lake Superior serves as a yacht basin for the growing upper middle class.

That's got something called the Duluth Waterfront Collective thinking.  Get past the virtue signalling and consider the substance of their argument.
When I-35 was built, nobody saw the warehouses and scrapyards of Canal Park becoming the tourist destination they are today. As such - when the interstate replaced the rail yards between downtown and the neighborhood, few were concerned that a barrier would continue to exist between the two. Things have changed, and at present Canal Park and the associated waterfront are some of the most visited places in our city. Unfortunately, there are few ways of traveling between downtown and Canal Park, regardless of whether you're in a car or on foot. Some of the city's worst traffic backups occur when people are forced into these bottlenecks. Issues with pedestrians are two-fold, in that these unsafe crossings make it difficult for residents to access the lake and tourists are discouraged from visiting downtown businesses.
Even equity minded environmentalists can grasp the inefficiency of relying on public money.
A recent report by the Metropolitan Interstate Council indicates I-35's downtown stretch handles less than 50% of its intended capacity. Meanwhile, recent highway infrastructure projects in Duluth have gone significantly over budget while our pothole-lined streets struggle to be maintained. Eventually, our freeway will find itself at the end of its useful life, at which point scaling back this piece of infrastructure could create a win-win scenario, creating a solution that is less expensive to maintain (i.e. you pay fewer taxes) while creating more space for development (which adds more to city tax revenues).
That's the logic that led to Milwaukee's Deer District, which takes space that was once given to a spur expressway that was intended to ... separate the business district from the lakefront, and turns it into a space for basketball fans to be basketball fans.  The space will be available for partisans to gather during the Republican convention that, unless Our Political Masters dream up another national emergency, will occur in Milwaukee July of next year. 

The Duluth proposal suggests opening more arterial streets into Canal Park would ease local circulation and parking there.  It can be challenging, particularly on the three pleasant summer weekends you get at those latitudes.

Nowhere, though, do I see any discussion of a Passenger Rail station.  Once upon a time, the Amtrak service from the Cities terminated at the Hill Lines station that is now home to a railroad museum and preservation railroad.

DEALING ANOTHER HAND FOR LEASTER IN MILWAUKEE.

No, not in a family owned tavern on Becher Street.  You knew, though, that when the radio station that originates Brewer games made mockery of Oakland's fan base and attendance, the baseball gods would be irritated.
The Oakland Athletics strolled into Milwaukee this weekend with the worst record in baseball.

They walked out with a sweep, leaving behind nothing but a battered, humiliated Milwaukee Brewers team.

In a third discomposing show of baseball in as many days, the Brewers fell, 8-6, to the lowly A's, who looked like anything but in an emphatic weekend-long dismantling of a team that entered in first place.

The Brewers, though, no longer sit in first, however, as a four-game losing streak has dropped them one game behind the Pittsburgh Pirates in the NL Central, a division that someone has to win even if no one seems to want to.
The new schedule, with lots of interleague play and each team playing all the other teams, is odd, with the Brewers and Pirates not yet to have played each other.  That's usually when that mid-season slump manifests itself.  In September, though, there's a steady dose of Cubs and Cardinals, which will give the impression, if not the reality, of a divisional race.  Let's see what happens.

9.6.23

NO, THESE ARE NOT EPISODES FROM THE X FILES.

A Rockford radio station has a penchant for stories of the odd, such as a wrecked train that might have figured in the ending of The Fugitive, recent movie version.  "Most of the time when production companies are filming scenes on location, it is in populated areas, so once they are done they have to clean up their mess. Well, apparently for "The Fugitive" trainwreck footage they were in the middle of nowhere, so they just left every in place."  There might be some truth to that story.

A more recent finding, not so much.  "It was discovered in Galt, Illinois which is in the southwestern part of the state. They found it on a farm near some silos and by some trees. It was built on 1924."

Galt is in northwestern Illinois, not far from Sterling, and not that far from Rockford, and there is a simpler explanation than the story offers.  "No one is exactly sure how the antique train got onto the property. In this picture, there appears to be some sort of railroad tracks. The engine is just sitting on them so apparently, they aren't used for transporting goods. I'm guessing that is part of the way they moved it."

That relic came from Northwestern Steel and Wire in Sterling.  The company recycled steel on an industrial scale, with electric furnaces of up to 400 tons capacity.  The existence of those furnaces inspired what might have been my best research paper, and the company was of ferroequinological interest because a number of steam locomotives that showed up consigned to scrap found a second life as intraplant switchers, until the early 1980s.  A number of them were purchased for preservation and shoved onto that siding in Galt, pending relocation.  Somewhere in my boxes of slides are a couple snaps I took from a nearby road.

The kettles, other than the one the radio guys found, have since been moved.  One is in Sterling and another, inoperable, at Illinois Railway Museum.  The one the radio guys stumbled upon is the one that has not yet found a home.  "Five were traded to a scrapper for a classier steamer that had been stored there since 1970. A few are on display in small towns, and at least one is privately owned and rusting on a siding while the owner figures out what to do with it."  Case closed.

FRIDAY short TAKES.

You mean there is a subprime college sector?  "According to the paper, those whose loans were frozen by the moratorium actually took on more debt—borrowing more on credit cards and mortgages and even accruing more student loan debt rather than working to pay off other debt they owe."  With Columbia (and the other Ivies) being Amway with a better come-on?  "To pin student loan debt on society at large isn’t just a textbook case of regressive taxation, but actively subsidizes the problem—a massive moral hazard encouraging naïve kids to make unrealistic decisions while feeding further institutional metastasis. Helping relieve some student debt is a good idea, but doing it sustainably requires putting higher education way more on the hook for its customers’ outcomes."

If you vote Democrat, sooner or later you'll want to have your head examined.  "America is getting sick of nonsense, and the problem for any Democrat is that the Democrat Party platform is all nonsense."  Make that retrograde nonsense.  "Democrat governance – dragging us back to the middle ages, a century and an industry at a time."


The weekly round-up of pithy elaborations on traditional Cold Spring Shops themes follows.

FROM THE STREETCAR SUBURBS TO THE TRACT HOUSES TO THE CULS-DE-SAC.

Strong Towns contributor Daniel Herriges studies a series of old maps.
At Strong Towns, we’ve often drawn a sharp distinction between the “traditional” development pattern of cities around the world and the post-World War II “Suburban Experiment.” The traditional pattern is highly incremental and emergent: development is mostly small-scale and undertaken by many participants over time, and the resulting places are fine-grained and oriented toward people who walk. The suburban model, by contrast, consists of places built all at once to a finished state, using large amounts of up-front financial capital, and designed for mass, if not universal, motor vehicle use.

We often get accused of being ahistorical for insisting upon this distinction. That criticism has merit. Let’s be clear: I believe the “traditional” vs. “suburban” distinction is useful and meaningful. But we can’t use it to draw a firm dividing line between an imagined, pure, or organic past and a corrupted present. There was no single Rubicon, in 1945 or any other year. We have to try to understand the cities of the past as real, messy places, as their inhabitants might have understood them, if we want to learn the right lessons from them.
Mr Herriges previously remarked on the path-dependence of Kansas City on its streetcar lines. He now has more maps to work from.
By the 1880s, though, St. Paul’s population was exploding, and land speculators began carving up the city’s hinterlands at a rapid pace. They were aided in this by the new technology of electric streetcars (and often lobbied for the extension of those very streetcar lines). What unfolded was a pattern of developer-led suburbanization that is surprisingly modern in its basic outlines.

The streetcar suburbs of the 1880s through 1920s, though we no longer call them “suburbs,” comprise most of what is today within St. Paul’s boundaries, including the neighborhood where I grew up and that I saw pictured on my vintage map. They accommodated extremely rapid growth. St. Paul’s population quadrupled between 1880 and 1900, from about 40,000 to about 160,000. (Its present day population is about double that again: 311,527 in the 2020 census.)

There were lots of places in the U.S. where the poor were building shacks on the edge of town in the 1880s, but that wasn’t how St. Paul, or other large Midwestern cities, grew. Large-scale speculative developers were an integral part of our history, and there’s no point pretending otherwise. In fact, the names of the real-estate barons of the time are immortalized in many of St. Paul’s street names today.

As you follow a rough line between downtown St. Paul and Minneapolis, you pass a series of neighborhoods—even today—with “park” in their name: Union Park, Merriam Park, Desnoyer Park, St. Anthony Park. The description of how the “Parks” came to be is not at all unlike the origin of modern suburban subdivisions. They were master-planned and mass-marketed communities for the upper middle class. Their developers sold them with an appeal to values that are basically suburban: healthy air, peace and quiet, a pastoral refuge from the chaos of the city.
That "park" appellation was common in many cities; for purposes of today's essay whether those signalled segregated "sundown" neighborhoods is irrelevant.  Planned use developments have long been with us, as have rent-seekers, and when it became clear that the private automobile was a Marshallian improvement, the rent-seekers started to push for expressways, and to set land aside for shopping centers (what we understand today as a strip mall was a Big Deal seventy years ago) that's where the political action went, and the neighborhood structures changed accordingly.  That the technocrats of the zoning boards could work with the technocrats of the highway commission and the rest of the Urban Planning Conceit simply made selling the latest concepts easier.
A master developer would subdivide a neighborhood into individual streets and lots, and then separate builders handled homebuilding on those lots. The developer typically provided for a commercial center, and designated space for civic features such as schools, parks, and churches. Neighborhoods were largely built out over the course of a couple decades. Here’s the thing: this is still a basically accurate description of suburban development today, whether you’re in The Villages, Florida; McKinney, Texas; or Maple Grove, Minnesota.

Years before zoning became a standard feature of every city’s bylaws, these incipient suburbs used deed restrictions to impose a standardization and predictability that was lacking in the city’s earlier (1850–1880) phase of growth. We see here the first glimmers of a different way of understanding the city.

"Are you concerned about the kind of improvements that may be placed on the lot adjoining your home?" asked a 1909 advertisement for lots in the Roblyn Park subdivision, in which “no duplex, double house, store, flat or tenement house was allowed.” In other streetcar suburbs, restrictive covenants established a minimum sale price for any house that could be built.

The streetcar suburbs are the prototype not only of the economic entity that is a commuter suburb, but of the ideology that would come to characterize American suburbia. This ideology would later be articulated by real-estate titans such as J.C. Nichols of Kansas City, whose 1948 speech, “Planning For Permanence,” to the National Association of Realtors is as close to a manifesto for the Suburban Experiment as I’ve ever seen. Nichols sought to do away with what he perceived as the senseless waste wrought by the incremental redevelopment and evolution of cities. Instead, he proposed that places be carefully and scientifically planned, every detail accounted for from the placement of parks and shopping centers to the size of homes—and then, said Nichols, they should remain unchanging.

“We are the men to lead the attack” on incremental city-building, Nichols told the assembled real-estate professionals. This attitude did not begin with him. Its seeds lie far earlier, carried on the winds of the broader modernist transformation of society, and the ascendant 20th-century cultural belief that there was nothing organic that could not be perfected with scientific management.
Yes, High Modern Authoritarianism was the ruling ideology, from the founding of the United Nations up until at least Model Cities and the War on Poverty, and it lives on with those national house building companies and their Fordist building techniques (identical from behind, three or four front profiles) and sometimes even slicing up the subdivision by price (do you put the priciest ones out front or inside?)  Mr Herriges suggests the streetcar suburbs have more "charm" these days because a century ago, neither the Fordist Impulse nor the Technocratic Imperative yet operated on a national scale.
Neighborhoods contain more diversity of housing sizes, styles, and price points, and don’t suffer from the problem typical to blocks of identical homes, in which they all physically deteriorate at the same time. Connectedness to the street grid reinforces the value of location: while the marketing brochure for early suburbia might have emphasized pastoral serenity, these places worked because they were accessible to more established neighborhoods and the amenities and businesses to be found there.

In a modern gated or otherwise walled-off community, on the other hand, you’re selling exclusivity and isolation, not connectedness. And this means that each new home nearby only degrades the value of that sales pitch, instead of enhancing it. It’s a perfect recipe for NIMBYism and stasis.

Truly small-scale developers and individuals could participate in the growth of the streetcar city, in a way that they can’t today. The bar of entry was lower. You could buy a single lot and custom-build your house, and you could probably even put up a small apartment building, have an ADU in the back or a retail storefront downstairs. Zoning had yet to shut down those options in these St. Paul neighborhoods, though we were already seeing the beginnings of the desire for homogeneity and control as a marketing approach.
That sounds like the development plan of Milwaukee's Polonia, which we will be returning to in a few days.  I have to be contrarian, though, in noting that residents along the gridded streets that are not section roads, traffic taming measures including closing some intersections to create impromptu culs-de-sac are not unknown.  Yes, the sidewalks remain in place, and kids don't have to go the great way 'round to visit a neighbor or play in the local park.

There was emergence in St. Paul's urban form; and I can't help but wonder whether I should have a gloomy moment.  "I wonder if we're not one looted convenience store away from some jurisdictions again becoming sundown towns."

That's on Mitch "Shot in the Dark" Berg's mind, and moreso on some of his commenters.  "My faith in the social cohesion of left-wing cities is thinner than the social cohesion of left-wing cities – but hope sprang eternal, and until 2020 history obliged."  Thus do the dealers in Executive Boxes and sport-utes continue to make their money.

MAYBE FOCUS ON EDUCATION?

In Southeastern Wisconsin, Hartland's Arrowhead High is notorious as a sports factory.
This high school hit the booster club and the taxpayers up for a quarter of a million dollars to upgrade their athletics facilities (still not at the extravagant level of Texas, but as my dad would put it, "why compare yourself to the worst?") despite requiring only mathematics through advanced algebra for graduation, and not having a planetarium, nor offering astronomy nor organic chemistry for advanced placement seniors.

The people who put up the money doubtless think it well-spent, as in the 2015-2016 school year Arrowhead is the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel's sports school of the year, for the fifteenth straight year.
Their basketball boys knocked Milwaukee Hamilton out of the state tournament earlier this year.

8.6.23

EXPAND YOUR APPEAL.

The motor carriers are back before Congress, asking for permission to run heavier trucks.  Railway Age editor William C. Vantuono offers the predictable special pleading.
Yes, the ages-old truck size and weight battle has resurfaced, and this industry needs to practice vigilance and make sure that these potential mayhem machines—which could weight roughly 42 tons heavier than the average family-hauling SUV—don’t start navigating our crumbling road infrastructure. It’s time to pull out our spike mauls and try to beat such legislation back into the ground, where it will lie dormant until, like 17-year cicadas, will re-hatch, emerging with earsplitting noise—and the battle begins anew.
It's the same old fight, with the same special pleading.  "Fine, let's make sure the heavier trucks bear the full cost of the road-strengthening programs, as well as the increased congestion costs those elephants will impose on everyone behind them.  We don't want to become China, with days-long traffic jams."

The railroads' commercial interest in this fight are clear and predictable.
Bigger trucks tearing up highways and bridges? We all know who’s going to pay for that: us, the taxpayers.

“The fundamental argument bigger-truck supporters make that I think the rail industry is in a really good place to refute is, ‘If you let us have heavier trucks, we can move fewer trucks,’” Baker points out. “Well, that would be true—in a vacuum. If you can move 800,000 pounds of cargo in 10 trucks right now, and you allow the trucks be 91,000 pounds instead of 80,000 pounds, then you can move that same stuff in nine trucks. That’s obviously true—in a vacuum. In the real world, it shifts the economics of truck vs. rail. Now you have all this marginal freight that is going to choose truck over rail, so you actually end up with probably 11 trucks, not 10, and they’re heavier. The public, the taxpayers, lose, with more trucks on the highway, not to mention more highway deaths. There were 5,800 deaths related to large trucks on the highways last year. If trucks are heavier and longer, it’s obvious that there will be more.”
Isn't it time for the railroads to consider coalition building with other constituencies that don't like the effects of those mayhem machines.  Consider a recent bill making its way through the Illinois Legislature.
Currently, local communities are required to build intersections that will accommodate the turning of a 65-foot truck, which means there’s no space left for design features that will make an intersection safer for people walking and biking.

SB2278 will address this shortcoming in Illinois law by allowing cities and towns to protect their residents by building safer intersections.
It's not quite my preferred policy, which is special movement permits for any trailer longer than thirty feet.  It's a step in that direction, though, and it's one that even the Teamsters might go along with.  A shortage of truck drivers is a statement about prevailing levels of pay and working conditions.  I can't help but suspect that having to thread one of those 53 foot trailers through a city, where "accommodate the turning" often means "complying with the minimum standard" and the driver has to take risks (appealing to the law of gross tonnage?) to shoulder out into traffic and execute a turn, often occupying the entire intersection in the maneuver, and even then running up on the curb, is nerve wracking even to the most experienced, or jaded, over the road trucker.

Perhaps there's an opportunity for the railroads to appeal to the Teamsters, who have to jockey those ever heavier rigs, and the municipalities, who in the absence of another porkulus, will be on the hook for fixing those battered roads, to participate in opposing those increased weight limits.

That heavily-freighted interstate highways, such as 41 in paper mill country in Wisconsin or any interstate in the Indianapolis area, feature billboards with come-ons from attorneys referring to "hurt in a truck accident" suggests that a broadened appeal will work.