Here, courtesy Business Insider, are the most thickly-settled counties, which together hold half the enumerated population.

Business Insider graphic.

Now comes political pundit Jeff Greenfield, who gets a lot more air time as the presidential fields take shape (and when I was a kid, The Making of the President 1960 had the national campaign beginning only after the World Series ended -- these days the World Series can run beyond Election Day, but that's just fine with the commentariat, as the next campaign begins immediately after Election Day) and the legacy talk heats up.  Here's Our President's legacy.  Barack Obama will leave his party in its worst shape since the Great Depression—even if Hillary wins.The Democratic leadership is principally Silent Generation relics and first-wave Baby Boomers. Read the article for the specifics, or consider this map.

Voters appear to be rejecting the Democrats, even (especially?) in the thickly settled states, notably except California, Illinois, and New Jersey.  Here's Mr Greenfield attempting to explain.
You have to go back to the Great Depression and the Watergate years to find so dramatic a reversal of fortunes for a party. And this time, there’s neither a Great Depression nor a criminal conspiracy in the White House to explain what has happened.
Never attribute to malice that which might be more simply explained by incompetence.


Norman Hill said...

Well, gerrymandering should not be overlooked. In NC Democrats continue to win a majority of the votes. Go figure.

Stephen Karlson said...

Does North Carolina still have that Congressional district that in some places is the width of a road? Is anybody surprised that somebody would figure out how to use the negative space resulting from compliance with the law calling for majority-minority districts to advantage? Perhaps that's the best reason to apportion using the principles of equal population and the simplest closed curve as a boundary, it creates contested districts.

Since legislative voting is district-by-district, if there are safe Republican districts where the candidate is unopposed (that has often happened in DeKalb County here, the university is a Democrat ghetto, but the rest of the county is anything but) voter turnouts will be lower there. Thus greater turnout in contested districts turns into higher Democrat totals statewide, but not into legislative majorities. (There's a parallel argument under which presidential popular votes are meaningless as long as electors are assigned by state.)